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Don't know why they used 3 sets with ALO, or why their simulations are that bad. He had the speed for the normal "2 runs" programme. Now it's just a battle with HUL about P14, with only used tyres left.
After all it's about the same pace as in the previous races, just a tight midfield.
It looks like Alonso will be able to get through to Q2 without any major problems, maybe he'll get 14th. And Stroll will stay in Q1 between 17th and 19th... Nothing out of the ordinary.