Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Ray
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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I sincerely do not understand about 80% of the people on this forum anymore. Almost everyone is throwing Kimi out of the picture and saying he's crap and Romain will beat him after the very first qualifying session of the season. There is no pattern here. There is only ONE data point. How anyone can come to a conclusion with that data set is frankly idiotic. I know it's normally forum banter, but this topic and the Australia race thread are full of this kind of illogical crap. It's ONE session for cripes sake. When we hit the European races maybe then predictions will have actual data to back them up, but now this is just talking to hear yourselves talk. I guess some people like hearing their own voice.

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Pierce89
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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WhiteBlue
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Ray wrote:I sincerely do not understand about 80% of the people on this forum anymore. Almost everyone is throwing Kimi out of the picture and saying he's crap and Romain will beat him after the very first qualifying session of the season. There is no pattern here. There is only ONE data point. How anyone can come to a conclusion with that data set is frankly idiotic. I know it's normally forum banter, but this topic and the Australia race thread are full of this kind of illogical crap. It's ONE session for cripes sake. When we hit the European races maybe then predictions will have actual data to back them up, but now this is just talking to hear yourselves talk. I guess some people like hearing their own voice.
You do have a point there, but I think you bring it a bit heavy across. The way the qualifying went was certainly nothing but spectacular. Both guys at Lotus started with the same equipment and the same tyre choice. Even the come back was the same for them. Only Räikkönen is vastly more experienced than Grosjean. To have Grosjean outperform him by such a vast factor was a big surprise and embarrassing. Reputations are formed and lost by such singular events. We might have witnessed the begin of the end of Räikkönen's carrier in F1. On the other hand he may have had a spectacularly bad day and may come back to entertain us with some great drives this year. I'll not make a judgement yet. But we certainly had a talking point.
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Giblet
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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WhiteBlue wrote:
Ray wrote:I sincerely do not understand about 80% of the people on this forum anymore. Almost everyone is throwing Kimi out of the picture and saying he's crap and Romain will beat him after the very first qualifying session of the season. There is no pattern here. There is only ONE data point. How anyone can come to a conclusion with that data set is frankly idiotic. I know it's normally forum banter, but this topic and the Australia race thread are full of this kind of illogical crap. It's ONE session for cripes sake. When we hit the European races maybe then predictions will have actual data to back them up, but now this is just talking to hear yourselves talk. I guess some people like hearing their own voice.
You do have a point there, but I think you bring it a bit heavy across. The way the qualifying went was certainly nothing but spectacular. Both guys at Lotus started with the same equipment and the same tyre choice. Even the come back was the same for them. Only Räikkönen is vastly more experienced than Grosjean. To have Grosjean outperform him by such a vast factor was a big surprise and embarrassing. Reputations are formed and lost by such singular events. We might have witnessed the begin of the end of Räikkönen's carrier in F1. On the other hand he may have had a spectacularly bad day and may come back to entertain us with some great drives this year. I'll not make a judgement yet. But we certainly had a talking point.
Except that Grosjean was running GP2 all last year on tires virtually identical to the F1 teams, and by and large the same tracks (made of asphalt). He also has worked with most of this team before, and has been doing nothing but circuit racing.

Kimi has been racing Citroen rally cars and snowmobiles and was robbed of 4 days of testing while they fixed a major chassis fault.

When I saw Kimi collect the car at around 250k I was pretty convinced he was back and as sharp as he has always been.
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Ray
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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WhiteBlue wrote:You do have a point there, but I think you bring it a bit heavy across. The way the qualifying went was certainly nothing but spectacular. Both guys at Lotus started with the same equipment and the same tyre choice. Even the come back was the same for them. Only Räikkönen is vastly more experienced than Grosjean. To have Grosjean outperform him by such a vast factor was a big surprise and embarrassing. Reputations are formed and lost by such singular events. We might have witnessed the begin of the end of Räikkönen's carrier in F1. On the other hand he may have had a spectacularly bad day and may come back to entertain us with some great drives this year. I'll not make a judgement yet. But we certainly had a talking point.
And like I said, this is one of many qualifying and race sessions this season. You cannot make any kind of factual conclusions based on 25 minutes of qualifying time. The Lotus started off with a bang last year and faded into obscurity after Malaysia. You can't base your conclusion on such a small amount of data. Come the European leg if Romain has beat him more often that not then the assumption can be made that Kimi is in "trouble" so to speak. Romain beat him this time, but that is in no way indicative of his future performances. You're jumping to conclusions with absolutely not data to back up your assumptions. Any number of 100 things could have gone wrong to knock Kimi out in that round, Kimi has said he/the team misjudged his remaining time and distance to the flag for another flying lap. That is an extremely easy mistake to make, happened a number of times to the big hitters last season, and has absolutely nothing to do with Kimis' speed compared to Romains' speed in the car. You simply cannot make that assumption/conclusion intelligently with just the results of one qualifying session. End of story. Reputations are won and lost on one sessions performance only to the foolish and ignorant. If you think he's no good anymore, then that's your problem and everyone else's that thinks he doesn't have what it takes anymore. Not fact, baseless assumption.

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Bob Brown
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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WhiteBlue wrote:
Ray wrote:I sincerely do not understand about 80% of the people on this forum anymore. Almost everyone is throwing Kimi out of the picture and saying he's crap and Romain will beat him after the very first qualifying session of the season. There is no pattern here. There is only ONE data point. How anyone can come to a conclusion with that data set is frankly idiotic. I know it's normally forum banter, but this topic and the Australia race thread are full of this kind of illogical crap. It's ONE session for cripes sake. When we hit the European races maybe then predictions will have actual data to back them up, but now this is just talking to hear yourselves talk. I guess some people like hearing their own voice.
You do have a point there, but I think you bring it a bit heavy across. The way the qualifying went was certainly nothing but spectacular. Both guys at Lotus started with the same equipment and the same tyre choice. Even the come back was the same for them. Only Räikkönen is vastly more experienced than Grosjean. To have Grosjean outperform him by such a vast factor was a big surprise and embarrassing. Reputations are formed and lost by such singular events. We might have witnessed the begin of the end of Räikkönen's carrier in F1. On the other hand he may have had a spectacularly bad day and may come back to entertain us with some great drives this year. I'll not make a judgement yet. But we certainly had a talking point.
You forgot the biggest factor: Grosjean was running softs on his last run in Q1 while Raikkonen was running hards on his last run in Q1.

That is the huge difference in the pace on that last lap. The bulk of error for the discrepancy in qualifying positions was mostly due to the miscommunication that Kimi was told he had one more lap to do a hot lap, but in reality, he did not.


I believe the main reason everybody wants to throw Kimi under the bus is the same reason everyone was throwing Schumi under the bus during his comeback. People just love to see Champions fail just so they can say that those guys aren't superhuman, or some other random reasoning.

Cold Fussion
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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I think Gorjean did his final q1 run on the harder tyres.

Lycoming
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Q1 is hardly a real show of raikonnen's performance, he made a mistake and unfortunately did not get a clean hot lap in. And he was most definitely NOT the only one making mistakes in Q1, LOTS of people were locking up, running wide, having oversteer moments, etc. It was a stupid mistake that should not have happened and has nothing to do with his true pace.

That should be immediately obvious, and there should be no debate on it.

For sure he will not be as sharp as he was in, perhaps, 07, because rallying is different. But I don't think you can ever write off Raikonnen. The wise thing to do will be to reserve judgement til sunday, when we'll see how he does going wheel to wheel and making use of DRS/KERS to fight his way back up the grid.

I think that sort of situation will show how much pace he has and how well he can race wheel to wheel, which is important coming out of rallying where you only race the stopwatch. If he can do what Webber did in shanghai last year, then I think that will pretty much settle it. Worth remembering that he does now have a lot of fresh tyres... If my memory serves me right, he will have 3 sets of unused options, and will be able to start on whatever he likes.

As for his steering woes, I believe I heard somewhere that it was related to the ratio, which, while not ideal, is probably not a huge bother and should be fairly simple to fix. Trulli did not like the lotus power steering because it did not give him adequate feeling; thats a much bigger problem.

Ian P.
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Yes, only one data point. Governments have committed Billion$$ on less. We should be a little wiser.

If Kimi is half as good as he thinks he is, (and I bet he is right) it will be interesting to see what he can do with a full stack of new Soft tyres.
RG has confirmed what the car can do, let's see what Kimi can do from the back. Start on hards, 10 laps to the first safety car, new softs and let the games begin. Webber did it last year more than once.
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Bob Brown
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Cold Fussion wrote:I think Gorjean did his final q1 run on the harder tyres.
Nope. Definitely soft. Thanks to the color band.

sriraj1031
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Well kimi drove well to get 8 points better than unlucky grosjean

ss.vamsikrishna
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Kimi drove an amazing race from start to finish. Not only he was quick, he has been very smart and avoiding all the chaos and not making any mistakes. He is actually driving the car after 2 years and very limited running this year on new tyres Pirelli has been fantastic.
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PlatinumZealot
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Yeah, Grosjeans inexperience was his undoing in the early laps; he fluffed the start.
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bdr529
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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I thought Kimi did a very good job for his first outing, it didn't help him starting near the back but the two extra spots he got gifted at the end did.
The fight for the mid-field looks like it could be as tight as the one for the top spot
I'am looking foward to the prospect of a few Kimi vs Kamui battles, this could be good veiwing

Scythe
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Re: Embarrassment for Raikkonen? The Reborn Grosjean...

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Well, Kimi blew in the Q, but I think he drove a fantastic race. Grosjean, unfortunately, didn't get a chance to show anything. I think Kimi will get stronger over the next few races. The Lotus can definitely get some podiums.