Hammerfist wrote: ↑18 Mar 2021, 05:06
I have a feeling Ferrari will be the major suprise of 2021. We can't forget that they are the only team that can spend resources similar to Redbull and Mercedes. The power unit has been vastly improved, but people like Carlos Sainz are downplaying it imo. Everyone is downplaying themselves. That is what pre season testing is all about; not show your hand. So I wouldn't expect them to keep languishing in the midfield for too long. I think once the season starts taking shape, it will be clear that Ferrari is back in the big 3.
Theres a few contradictions in your statement there!
Technically speaking, they have a similar amount of infrastructure as Mercedes and Red Bull, but they're limited by the budget cap with what they can spend... plus a lot of the car is forcibly carried over from last year, with the majority of it locked in for this season. You can bet your bottom dollar that a lot of that money will be going towards 2022, which makes perfect sense since that is their best chance to fight at the front once again.
Regarding the Power Unit, it most likely has improved... but it isn't like Renault, Mercedes and Honda have been sitting still either; Any gains made by Ferrari will be reigned in somewhat by the others. In saying that, if Ferrari were forcibly restricted in anyway last year due to the FIA and whatever their agreement is (that itself is pure speculation that is going around), then they might've been able to close the gap more...
You said so yourself; Everyone is downplaying each other and talking up their competitors in Winter Testing; Sainz is no different. What is positive is that it is a different echo from the team compared to last year, where they were expecting to struggle from the get go... now they seem somewhat more confident of a stronger showing, yet they're till shying away from being able to fight for wins. You're right too in saying pre season testing does include not showing your hand... you think we've seen what Red Bull, McLaren, Aston Martin and especially Mercedes can really do?
If Ferrari start the season as the 3rd best team, I'll genuinely be surprised as much as I am impressed, given the tightness of the regulations for this year... but compared to where they were last year vs. the likes of McLaren, Aston Martin and Renault (Alpine), they effectively were behind them. One thing Ferrari does have going for it is that they can now run the car in the way it was intended to this year, and not have to compromise the whole setup of the car to compensate for the lack of power. That alone should make them more competitive, though will it be enough to overhaul the likes of those that were ahead last year? Potentially... but my feet are firmly on the ground at this stage!