gansaraku wrote: ↑29 Jul 2026, 21:51
Just to be clear, these are only my personal impressions based on Honda's interviews and the publicly available technical information. I'm not claiming these are confirmed facts or that I have any insider knowledge—I'm simply trying to connect the dots.
One thing I find particularly interesting is the FIA's restriction on in-cylinder combustion sensing. Without direct cylinder pressure or combustion measurements, the ECU has to rely much more on predictive models rather than real-time combustion feedback.
If those combustion models are even slightly inaccurate, I wonder whether that could affect torque estimation and, consequently, the synchronization between the ICE, the MGU-K, engine braking and the gearbox during transient phases such as corner entry and downshifts.
I'm not suggesting that this is what caused Stroll's Monaco incident. It is simply a possible link that came to mind after reading Honda's recent comments about combustion development, reduced internal friction, revised calibration and improved drivability.
I'd be interested to hear what others think. Does this sound technically plausible, or am I overlooking something?
"Relying much more on predictive models rather than real-time combustion feedback" means you can still push things like the ignition timing to the edge, but you have to be more conservative because you're making assumptions about what the cylinder pressure and combustion conditions actually are. That will likely mean Honda will be more conservative in the first few races with the new ICE, then gradually start pushing closer and closer to the limit as they gain confidence.
You're still allowed to run the sensors in the lab and on the dyno, so you should be able to build a very good calibration map. However, things in the real world sometimes don't behave the same way they do in the lab. If the engine starts knocking heavily, you run the risk of the ICE going boom.
I think the Stroll accident is something they had been seeing quite a lot already; it's just that there aren't many tracks where the cars end up that close to the walls. I think that when a driver pulls either paddle shifter, a signal is sent to the ICE to microsecond pause torque delivery so the transmission can synchronize the next gear and complete the shift. With all the braking, acceleration, and the much greater electrical power from the MGU-K, that pause has become much more complicated to manage. Ending a torque pause while the MGU-K is regenerating under braking means the system has to maintain a consistent braking feel for the driver. If the torque pause causes the MGU-K to reduce braking at the wrong moment, even briefly, the car can end up in the wall.