dans79 wrote:I fully expect Lewis to go on another streak simply because he has to. I think the last 2 races he has been playing it safe, but now that he has another big gap, I think he will throw caution to the wind, because he can't hope for Nico to DNF.
I hope he doesn't start overdriving. So far this year I have been quite impressed how he is racing. He always was fast, but now it seems in a controlled manner. Timing his overtakes, not burning up the rubber, bailing out of an overtake when it becomes too hairy (like in corner two Canada), no questionable defensive moves. I have seen that differently in recent years.
Nico on the other hand seems to be pushing his car and his abilities to the limit. He had already a few close calls. Like the brush with Bottas in Bahrain, almost losing it in Canada (three times), two Q3 excursions. Plus he is on the watchlist of the officials.
Even if Nico doesn't DNF, the difference is just 22 points. We have had 7 races, of these races Lewis has won 4. He was second once and two races he retired from a leading position. If he maintains these kind of statistics (without the DNF's) he is still in control of the championship. If not by outright winning he also seems to be in a position to force Nico in an error.
Of course there is an element of luck involved, but luck you don't change by pushing harder.