No, not over reacting. To do CFD at the level that would allow no wind tunnels requires levels of supercomputer performance that are currently restricted to state-owned organisations. These machines are $200-300 million each. There are ten teams. That's $2-3 billion right there. And that's without them developing them.turbof1 wrote: I also think you are quite overreacting. a few hundred millions over a decade, I would have agreed with that, but billions? That's blowing things quite up.
A wind tunnel simulates, by actually making them, the turbulent structures that occur around the car. They're not as accurate as the real car on track, of course, because of the scale but they are there. Current RANS CFD basically doesn't do that. It gives very approximate results which are then tested against the wind tunnel - that's why the tunnel is so important. LES is better because it simulates the larger turbulence structures. DNS actually calculates all of the structures and gives as close to the real thing as you're going to get. DNS is therefore needed to replace a wind tunnel. DNS on a car-sized object is not yet feasible. It's not likely to be feasible for at least a decade, perhaps 20 years, and even then only for someone with access to what is likely to be the fastest computer in the world at the time. Again, we're talking about kit that is in the $hundreds of millions.
If you go down the route of removing all of the wind tunnels - equipment that is already paid for, don't forget, and replace it with CFD you'll just create a new arms race. The little teams won't be any better off - indeed they'll be worse off because the kit they already have/use will be outlawed and they'll have to spend a new fortune on CPUs instead.
F1 can't solve its problems by banning wind tunnels and going a different way. They'll just create a new set of financial hurdles at which the small teams will fall. If they want to get really serious about cost savings then they need to go down the route of FIA-standardised and non-changing aero components. Everyone gets the same front and rear wings and diffuser, for example. A pseudo-one-make series, in effect. So long as each team develops every component and has the money to do so, F1 will be a rich team's heaven.