Just_a_fan wrote: ↑24 Oct 2021, 22:31
Mr.S wrote: ↑24 Oct 2021, 22:29
Just_a_fan wrote: ↑24 Oct 2021, 22:26
Hamilton has driven up to the 2second buffer. This is where he'll struggle to get close enough to try a pass, let alone taking it easily as you suggest.
The tyres fall off, Degradation is crazy high & overtaking is very easy & DRS is quite potent here.
And 8 Lap fresher tyres - Massive Massive. Unless Hamilton screws up really badly, this should be a fairly easy 5-6s win atleast ! If this was the other way around, I would easily bet on Max, Leclerc or Perez !
He can't get close enough because of the long run of corners between T1 and T11. That's turbulent air acting as a buffer for Max. Degradation would need to be 2 seconds / lap for Hamilton to be able tog et close for the overtake.
8 Lap differential is atleast 1-1.5s, should be easily done through T1 or T12. If he can't get it done in COTA with 8 lap fresher tyres, then he won't.
I am surprised that Max is hanging on. Maybe Lewis pushed too hard early or Max managed his tyres better.