Surely that means RBR for the 2022 title then?
Surely that means RBR for the 2022 title then?
I'm not good at predictions. But I did do some analysis, and without Max 5 DNF last season he'd have been far ahead of Bottas in WDC. He finished on average 1.5 positions ahead of Bottas. Verstappen certainly makes the most of the machinery given.
Verstappen has the right idea, just rolling off the throttle in the chickens.Ryar wrote: ↑03 Dec 2021, 17:58It seems like Perez is struggling really badly. He is nowhere near Max.
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That's unfair in my opinion because Bottas had several DNF's that were out of his control last season, Max was also very unlucky with mechanical failures. I haven't added it all up but I think if they both finished every race Bottas would be ahead.politburo wrote: ↑03 Dec 2021, 19:56I'm not good at predictions. But I did do some analysis, and without Max 5 DNF last season he'd have been far ahead of Bottas in WDC. He finished on average 1.5 positions ahead of Bottas. Verstappen certainly makes the most of the machinery given.
No, I looked into it, in the races they both finished, Max (2.42) finished on average >1.5 positions ahead of Bottas (4.31). Perhaps Bottas was just unlucky, or perhaps he just lacks the aggression of Hamilton despite being just as fast as him in Qualifying. I do rate Bottas, but how can someone as talented as him have zero championships to this point being in the best car for 5 years one has to wonder. I fear George Russell will suffer a similar fate thereMarty_Y wrote: ↑03 Dec 2021, 23:03That's unfair in my opinion because Bottas had several DNF's that were out of his control last season, Max was also very unlucky with mechanical failures. I haven't added it all up but I think if they both finished every race Bottas would be ahead.
Not that I'm saying Bottas is the better driver, just he was driving the W11 which was a faster, easier car to drive.
I agree Max did well last season, he won races and consistently scored good points, but he was up against the W11 which was a far superior car than he was driving.
That's not very humane....godlameroso wrote: ↑03 Dec 2021, 20:13Verstappen has the right idea, just rolling off the throttle in the chickens.Ryar wrote: ↑03 Dec 2021, 17:58It seems like Perez is struggling really badly. He is nowhere near Max.
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/FFsbUaQXwAM ... =4096x4096
The problem is that he's fighting alone, whilst Perez is languishing with the upper midfield. The best luck they can get is Perez starting 4th. Perez can then go into T1 a bit more aggressively and gain track position on maybe Bottas, thus when Hamilton wants to pit, they can place Perez as a legal roadblock and ask him to defend aggressively or use more aggressive deployment to try and defend.Kingshark wrote: ↑04 Dec 2021, 06:12I do not see Max beating Lewis around either Jeddah or the revised Abu Dhabi on pure pace. These circuits simply suit Mercedes far too much. They are power sensitive, smooth and grippy tarmac, etc…
He needs luck to go his way, but he’s up against the most blessed driver himself so that doesn’t seem very likely.
But when the Mercedes in Hamilton's hands is faster all around that doesn't actually buy them too much, especially if they are also equal or better on tyres (look for Zandvoort for that scenario, but switched around).politburo wrote: ↑04 Dec 2021, 11:49The problem is that he's fighting alone, whilst Perez is languishing with the upper midfield. The best luck they can get is Perez starting 4th. Perez can then go into T1 a bit more aggressively and gain track position on maybe Bottas, thus when Hamilton wants to pit, they can place Perez as a legal roadblock and ask him to defend aggressively or use more aggressive deployment to try and defend.Kingshark wrote: ↑04 Dec 2021, 06:12I do not see Max beating Lewis around either Jeddah or the revised Abu Dhabi on pure pace. These circuits simply suit Mercedes far too much. They are power sensitive, smooth and grippy tarmac, etc…
He needs luck to go his way, but he’s up against the most blessed driver himself so that doesn’t seem very likely.
This is literally the only chance. Otherwise, Hamilton will win this race just as easily as the Qatar race, and with exception of a miracle in Abu Dhabi, it would be the same there. All this plus the fact they must as score more points than Merc if they wish to stay realistically competitive in the WCC going into Abu Dhabi next weekend as well.