Mandrake wrote: ↑10 Jul 2017, 15:59
On the first paragraph, Setup: I highly doubt that anyone would setup a car for one specific tire. Cars are set up to be fastest around a lap, maybe in case of Hamilton with a slight focus on more top speed and less cornering. But sacrificing 1/3 of the race with the other tire and suboptimal handling does not make any sense to me. In general: the temps were so much higher than in the practise sessions, everyone had blisters and issues with the tires. So I strongly believe all the "bad handling" came from tires not feeling good on the hot tarmac.
It has been noted this is what Mercedes concentrated on Friday when it was clear to them that Hamilton would incur a grid penalty while their main competitors did not. They concealed it throughout Friday to not allow Ferrari/RedBull to know that Hamilton/Mercedes would be driving the race on a different strategy (reverse) and counter-act that. This much has been reported in the analysis by AMuS (I posted the link in the Austrian GP topic).
Tire performance is everything.
This much is clear when you analyze the performance of particularly Mercedes in Singapore '14, Monaco '15 and more recent in especially the earlier part of this season.
Put yourself in Mercedes position. You know you will not be starting on the front row. Under the assumption you will be starting at best 6th, you can no longer run the optimum strategy but have to perhaps set up your car to the new requirements you'd be facing. Passing cars is one of them. So it makes sense to optimize for a slightly higher top speed (less drag) vs outright cornering performance. If however you know there is a large chance of being on pole, you might just concentrate on getting the best 1-lap performance. You might recall that RedBull used to do this quite well from especially 2011 till 2013 when they arguably lacked top-end, but had very good 1 lap pace. We could see this in races where Vettel (and Webber) disappeared into the distance from the front, but when in traffic, they had a bigger challenge to get past traffic. One of the other better examples though I forgot which particular race it was, was when Vettel was disqualified in QF and RedBull opted to have him start from the pit-lane and changed pretty much everything on his car to make passing as easy as possible.
Teams rarely set up their car for the one perfect set-up because it doesn't exist. It's always a trade-off between compromises. More topspeed at the cost of cornering speed or vice-versa. A team starting in traffic will choose differently than a team with a chance at pole depending on the track. At Monaco where passing is next to impossible, track position is everything, so you gamble on best 1-lap pace. If you know you can pass easily, you may not and top-end might be more crucial in either gaining positions or defending them. Then there's also the point that you qualify on a light car, but on Sunday, most of the race you are driving with heavy fuel loads. No point in completely focusing on a light car for that reason.
So yes, I am fairly certain and confident that Hamiltons car was not ideally set-up for a pole position or for a race from the front row. To have done so would have been idiotic. They knew the race they were going to have and they knew the car would have to be optimized around the compromise of starting on the SS (doing the race in reverse) and perhaps focusing on a bit of top-end speed at the expense of out right downforce in the corners.
So "sacrificing a 1/3 of the race" makes perfect sense to me, under the assumption that it nearly netted them 3rd position, with 4th being the most likely goal. And it's not as if the 1/3 was completely sacrificed - assuming a rather short(er) stint on US at the end, you'd make up some of that set-up deficit by having the softer compound while your direct competitors are on, at that point, worn SS.
So again, Hamilton was going extremely well on his first stint on the SS tire. That much was evident by the pace he had relative to everyone else on the US. His strategy relied on a long SS stint. Kimi successfully was blocking Hamilton so they forced him on a sub par and ambitious strategy by pitting early. That should have opened the door for Kimi to be a bigger challenger than he was. I am by no means saying that Kimi could have taken back that position - that is up for the stars, but it would have been quite interesting to see at the very least. And this to where I point to Kimis pace when they did finally pit him vs. Hamilton at that stage of the race.
It's all good, I have no beef with Ferrari either way. I'm just calling it as it is, that's all.