I dont quite agree with this. For example, Leclerc got provisional pole in Monaco and crashed in 2nd run. He couldnt start because Ferrari missed checking left side of the car.ringo wrote: ↑25 Mar 2022, 08:06Charles was not just unlucky. He made poorer decisions on track than Carlos.
That to me gives Carlos more certainty for better results over a season.
But with the fastest car Charles will win over the season. Reason being less things to manage and less competitors racing at the front end of the grid.
I do suspect their relationship to sour this year however. Carlos will draw first blood.
Sainz started 4th and got 2nd because both Leclerc and Bottas DNFd. Leclerc lost ,18-25pts and Sainz gained 18 (6 additionally duo to DNFs).
Now you might say, well, its Leclercs crash that resulted in DNF so its his fault. Ok, but then take a look at Hungary...Same thing happens to Carlos, he qualified 15th, Leclerc is P3 in T1 and gets crashed into by Stroll. Duo to high amount of T1 crashes in wet, half of top 10 got DNF and Sainz ended 3rd (after Vettel got disqualified).
Leclerc lost 15-25pts (since he was in Ocons position in T1), Sainz got 15.
That is such a massive point swing in midfield that its very hard to outscore team mate like Sainz when couple of races go this way (Sochi as well, from 19th to Carlos gearbox, duo to tire gamble in rain got 0 points). Not one of these happened to Sainz last year, and Leclerc had 2-3 such catastrophic situations.