Engine mappingatanatizante wrote: ↑17 Apr 2022, 11:37I don't get it how could they find some fuel improvements knowing that since March there is a freeze regarding this car item ... poor speculations, IMHO ...
https://www.gpblog.com/en/news/108636/w ... ments.html
This seems likely. I've seen a number of people on here and other places speculate that Merc are running the PU turned down as well because they know they're not fighting for wins even if they push them, so they're saving them for later.jumpingfish wrote: ↑17 Apr 2022, 11:54I read this on another site before, so I assume that due to the rewriting of articles, the meaning sometimes changes and what the author of the statement wanted to say is distorted. As far as I understood, Wolff meant that by March 1 they had an engine well adapted to the E10, but due to the high drag it is not visible.
Speaking of numbers, Hamilton has never managed to overcome a deficit of 40 points in any of his previous seasons to win a WDC. He never had a car with a qualifying deficit of 7 tenths and race pace deficit of 1 second before. If Mercedes joins the championship battle, it would be a three team battle, which Hamilton hasn't won before. So the historical odds are completely against such a possibility. For all those odds to be beaten, Mercedes have to first understand the car's problems and find a fix. First time since 2012, Mercedes are facing correlation issues.adrianjordan wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 11:06This seems likely. I've seen a number of people on here and other places speculate that Merc are running the PU turned down as well because they know they're not fighting for wins even if they push them, so they're saving them for later.jumpingfish wrote: ↑17 Apr 2022, 11:54I read this on another site before, so I assume that due to the rewriting of articles, the meaning sometimes changes and what the author of the statement wanted to say is distorted. As far as I understood, Wolff meant that by March 1 they had an engine well adapted to the E10, but due to the high drag it is not visible.
It's a long season and there is still time for Merc to get back in contention.
I might even see what the odds are like on a Hamilton WDC this year!!
2009 was also the last year where qualifying fuel loads were carried into race. So, it's not a like for like comparison for the single lap pace deficit of today's cars. It was also the last year of refuelling.De Jokke wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 15:00Disagree on the slow car part: 2009 mp4-24
https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Grand_Pri ... C3%AB_2009
Oh guess what, all that also apples to Charles and Maxsilver wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 14:32Hamilton has never managed to overcome a deficit of 40 points in any of his previous seasons to win a WDC. If Mercedes joins the championship battle, it would be a three team battle, which Hamilton hasn't won before. So the historical odds are completely against such a possibility..
There are 3 sprint races extra this year with 8 points in each up for grabs so more points and more races than any previous year and the numbers change ( is there an additional fastest lap point in sprint too?)silver wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 14:32Speaking of numbers, Hamilton has never managed to overcome a deficit of 40 points in any of his previous seasons to win a WDC. He never had a car with a qualifying deficit of 7 tenths and race pace deficit of 1 second before. If Mercedes joins the championship battle, it would be a three team battle, which Hamilton hasn't won before. So the historical odds are completely against such a possibility. For all those odds to be beaten, Mercedes have to first understand the car's problems and find a fix. First time since 2012, Mercedes are facing correlation issues.adrianjordan wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 11:06This seems likely. I've seen a number of people on here and other places speculate that Merc are running the PU turned down as well because they know they're not fighting for wins even if they push them, so they're saving them for later.jumpingfish wrote: ↑17 Apr 2022, 11:54I read this on another site before, so I assume that due to the rewriting of articles, the meaning sometimes changes and what the author of the statement wanted to say is distorted. As far as I understood, Wolff meant that by March 1 they had an engine well adapted to the E10, but due to the high drag it is not visible.
It's a long season and there is still time for Merc to get back in contention.
I might even see what the odds are like on a Hamilton WDC this year!!
Same things can work against if Mercedes struggles to fix all their problems sooner.Big Tea wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 18:07There are 3 sprint races extra this year with 8 points in each up for grabs so more points and more races than any previous year and the numbers change ( is there an additional fastest lap point in sprint too?)silver wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 14:32Speaking of numbers, Hamilton has never managed to overcome a deficit of 40 points in any of his previous seasons to win a WDC. He never had a car with a qualifying deficit of 7 tenths and race pace deficit of 1 second before. If Mercedes joins the championship battle, it would be a three team battle, which Hamilton hasn't won before. So the historical odds are completely against such a possibility. For all those odds to be beaten, Mercedes have to first understand the car's problems and find a fix. First time since 2012, Mercedes are facing correlation issues.adrianjordan wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 11:06
This seems likely. I've seen a number of people on here and other places speculate that Merc are running the PU turned down as well because they know they're not fighting for wins even if they push them, so they're saving them for later.
It's a long season and there is still time for Merc to get back in contention.
I might even see what the odds are like on a Hamilton WDC this year!!
Much harder to go through both Verstappen and Leclerc imo. Too many moving targets.ringo wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 17:26If Hamilton gets a winning car when he has a mathematical chance to win the championship he is likely to win it. We saw this last year when the team understood how to setup the car.
So yes they may 40+ points behind but I would not bet against LH if he will need to win 5 races in a row to be WDC.
Right now it's only charles, as Max is behind him in the WDC.AR3-GP wrote: ↑19 Apr 2022, 00:36Much harder to go through both Verstappen and Leclerc imo. Too many moving targets.ringo wrote: ↑18 Apr 2022, 17:26If Hamilton gets a winning car when he has a mathematical chance to win the championship he is likely to win it. We saw this last year when the team understood how to setup the car.
So yes they may 40+ points behind but I would not bet against LH if he will need to win 5 races in a row to be WDC.