Hoffman900 wrote: ↑22 Apr 2024, 18:38
I’m always reminded that there is no guarantee of a fix either, because the issues that caused it to be wrong in the first place (something like correlation) aren’t a given to be fixed.
People don’t design things to be “wrong” from the get go and unless the tools and knowledge on the front end of the design is completely understood, you’ll never fully correct anything.
Three seasons in, and it’s clear Mercedes is having big issues with their modeling, correlation, and engineering prowess. How many times now have we heard that they “fixed it” over the last three seasons?
They fixed 'a lot', It is not like W14 was slower than W13, or W15 is slower than W14.
For instance, George's Jeddah quali laps from 2022 to 2024,
1:29.104 (pole:1:28.200),
1:28.857 (pole:1:28.265),
1:28.316 (pole:1:27.472).
My speculation is that every team has a similar gap between their tools and reality, but they put harder targets to hit during development, while Merc set their targets based on the scores from their tool and think they will be champion based on the data that they have.