I posted this to race thread before FP started, as MB thread was closed
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Mercedes could be quite competitive here this race.
If there's one thing that demonstrates higher download, then cooler conditions and the ability of the platform to flex the tire carcass confirms that data. Their problem will, as usual, being able to maintain control of that accumulated load while taking the rear tire into it's bounce frequency. If they can avoid that aspect, they'll be fast off the bat.
We're soon going to see the competitive order, and how the recent "clarifications " of technical aspect play out.
Probably will be close within top 10 position."
Looks like it moves towards this chassis as it appears to be able to generate higher downforce than many, that really helps flex the tire carcass when cooler, may assist with resistance to graining also. Low ambient and track surface temperature making this advantageous.
The tire starting pressure is quite high (maybe adjusted after FP2, I understand) and possibly that assisting bounce resistance condition as the tire moves into a different frequency responses with that shift.
If they have had to lift it, that could also bring just a little more consistent response at corner entry.
Looks effective so far.