Schippke wrote: ↑02 Dec 2024, 16:15
How do we honestly rate our chances at Abu Dhabi? Let’s be honest the point deficit is still quite large and it’s unlikely we’ll finish ahead of both McLarens… I reckon either Verstappen or Russell could cause a bit of an upset here.
I think Mercedes could cause a bit of an upset here. In Vegas, their pace was probably assisted by the cooler conditions, but I think in Qatar they were better represented with warmer (albeit slightly) conditions, and they might end up benefiting from the twilight/night aspect of this race.
If Ferrari get a 2-3 and McLaren a 4-5, McLaren wins. If Ferrari get a 1-2 and McLaren a 3-4, McLaren wins. If Ferrari get a 3-4 and McLaren a 6-7... you guessed it, McLaren wins. Even if one McLaren doesn't score any points and Ferrari gets a 3-4 or 1-4 or something like that, McLaren wins as long as the other car gets P2 or higher.
It would take one of the McLarens significantly
underperforming and Ferrari
overperforming to win.
Still, it's not over until it's over. And I think no matter what the outcome is, the team can be proud of what they accomplished this year. Between Montreal, the triple header, and the crash in Baku, they should be nowhere near the WCC. Yet their consistency and brilliance in other races has made up the deficit.