mvfad wrote: ↑16 Aug 2025, 18:04
These days, a driver's experience doesn't mean much when it comes to car development. Telemetry provides everything engineers need to know. In fact, there are many engineers who don't care what drivers say anyway.
The great advantage of having experienced drivers is being able to complete the entire test and race schedule without damaging the car. But you can also achieve this with rookie drivers. For example, Bortoleto and Hadjar have done this very well, maybe Kimi also. Sauber's performance has improved significantly over the course of the season, even with one of the drivers having no previous F1 experience.
If you look at the career retrospectives of drivers in the feeder series, you can get a sense of whether they are accident-prone or not (Sargeant and Colapinto were obvious examples of drivers with a high accident propensity by watching their races in the feeder series - all the accidents and mistakes Sargeant made in F1 are exactly the same ones he made in F3 and F2).
From the current Formula 2 grid, Dunne seems accident-prone, so it would be a risky bet. Crawford isn't accident-prone, but I don't think he's ready for F1 yet — I'd give him a year of a robust private testing program to hopefully get into 2027 - he seems to me like Drugovich in terms of speed and talent.
Other "young" options are Mick Schumacher and Drugovich.
Mick is known for taking long time to adapt and hasn't shown great performance at HAAS. He's had many accidents in F1. He's done well in the WEC, but some drivers perform better in prototype cars than formula cars, and vice versa. Furthermore, Mick was passed over at Mercedes, Audi (German teams), and Alpine F1 (where he competes in the WEC), so it would be a bit strange for Cadillac to sign him for F1 (just, why?).
Drugovich isn't accident-prone, but his performance in an F1 car is still unknown. His free practice participations can't be used as a performance parameter because teams typically test different things. He has already competed in two 24h of LeMans and in a Daytona 24h for Cadillac (Whelen) and has done very well given the little experience he has in this type of car. It would be a risky bet on his performance, but Cadillac is unlikely to be a team that performs well next year, regardless of the drivers chosen.