That's a slightly delulu take, sorry.venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:46From the data, Norris was in lower engine mode than Max in FP2, and still faster by 4 tenths in Q and around 5-6 tenths in R simulations. RB21 also showing much bigger 'deg' than the McL39. In the real Q and R, I think this gap is going to be 5 tenths and 8-9 tenths, respectively. The difference in the off-camber corners of Sector3 is almost comical. I think this is too much a gap for Redbull to bridge. I can't see beyond a pole to flags victory for Norris this weekend. The advantage over the 'next best' car on this track, is even bigger than it was in 2024. Norris will win his 1st WDC with a cool P1 with some 30s margin over P2.
Piastri looks lost.
Same!
Let's agree to disagree, as per my understanding, McLaren were in a lower engine mode (clue : with those rear/front wings, their Vmax before T6 and T9 is 4-5 kph slower than the Redbull, and the Redbull wings are more loaded actually) and hence the 'gap' is really big. Let's wait for Q and R.SchuMassa wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:54That's a slightly delulu take, sorry.venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:46From the data, Norris was in lower engine mode than Max in FP2, and still faster by 4 tenths in Q and around 5-6 tenths in R simulations. RB21 also showing much bigger 'deg' than the McL39. In the real Q and R, I think this gap is going to be 5 tenths and 8-9 tenths, respectively. The difference in the off-camber corners of Sector3 is almost comical. I think this is too much a gap for Redbull to bridge. I can't see beyond a pole to flags victory for Norris this weekend. The advantage over the 'next best' car on this track, is even bigger than it was in 2024. Norris will win his 1st WDC with a cool P1 with some 30s margin over P2.
Piastri looks lost.
Verstappen was braking quite a bit earlier into most major braking zones (doing more li&co?).
The gap was nowhere near 5-6 tenths in race simulations. If we were to compare the first 8 laps of their stints only (that's the distance NOR did), the gap is merely 0.1s. And Max started his stint ~10 mins before him.
On the fastest laps of Norris and Max, the gaps were bigger at the corner exits than the end of the straights. Only on the longest straight when DRS is open did the RB start to increase the speed differential.venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 18:17Let's agree to disagree, as per my understanding, McLaren were in a lower engine mode (clue : with those rear/front wings, their Vmax before T6 and T9 is 4-5 kph slower than the Redbull, and the Redbull wings are more loaded actually) and hence the 'gap' is really big. Let's wait for Q and R.SchuMassa wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:54That's a slightly delulu take, sorry.venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:46From the data, Norris was in lower engine mode than Max in FP2, and still faster by 4 tenths in Q and around 5-6 tenths in R simulations. RB21 also showing much bigger 'deg' than the McL39. In the real Q and R, I think this gap is going to be 5 tenths and 8-9 tenths, respectively. The difference in the off-camber corners of Sector3 is almost comical. I think this is too much a gap for Redbull to bridge. I can't see beyond a pole to flags victory for Norris this weekend. The advantage over the 'next best' car on this track, is even bigger than it was in 2024. Norris will win his 1st WDC with a cool P1 with some 30s margin over P2.
Piastri looks lost.
Verstappen was braking quite a bit earlier into most major braking zones (doing more li&co?).
The gap was nowhere near 5-6 tenths in race simulations. If we were to compare the first 8 laps of their stints only (that's the distance NOR did), the gap is merely 0.1s. And Max started his stint ~10 mins before him.
When I looked at the data it does not look as if McLaren is "faster in relative terms" on the straight. The majority of the gain is through the twisty bit (sector 3) and on most straights VER is either gaining or roughly the same.mwillems wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 19:05On the fastest laps of Norris and Max, the gaps were bigger at the corner exits than the end of the straights. Only on the longest straight when DRS is open did the RB start to increase the speed differential.venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 18:17Let's agree to disagree, as per my understanding, McLaren were in a lower engine mode (clue : with those rear/front wings, their Vmax before T6 and T9 is 4-5 kph slower than the Redbull, and the Redbull wings are more loaded actually) and hence the 'gap' is really big. Let's wait for Q and R.SchuMassa wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:54
That's a slightly delulu take, sorry.
Verstappen was braking quite a bit earlier into most major braking zones (doing more li&co?).
The gap was nowhere near 5-6 tenths in race simulations. If we were to compare the first 8 laps of their stints only (that's the distance NOR did), the gap is merely 0.1s. And Max started his stint ~10 mins before him.
This is why you see the Mclaren "slower" on the straights. They are faster, in relative terms, in that the Mclaren is gaining speed quicker than the RB, but starting from a lower speed.
They may well be taking it easy in the corners or just struggling.
It'd be foolish to guess at this point. But they sure as hell aren't lacking power, in fact, they appear to actually have more, especially since they are closing the speed gap with the bigger wings, as you mentioned.

Seeing the McLaren pace today, they can even do zero stopper.FittingMechanics wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 23:47One thing that worries me about the race is that the team seems to have chosen differently in regards to tire (and potential two stopper). Everyone else has two new mediums and one hard while McLaren has the opposite. If it is a two stopper and medium is a much better tire that is not good. I'd feel much safer if they were on the same page as others. Let's hope the race is a one stopper.
In the team stream they said they think it is a one stopper:
"Henry Fidler
10:24
As always, tyres. We’d really like to know whether the race is likely to be a one- or a two-stop. Last year, we went into the race thinking it might be a two-stop and the way it played out, it was a one-stop. This year, the tyres are a little more robust and that pushes everyone further towards a one-stop – but there’s still perhaps merit in carrying an extra set of race tyres for Safety Car opportunities."
https://i.ibb.co/Hf4fW9Rk/abudhabi.png
Ill do some screenshot later, on the two straights in the middle of the lap we start with a huge difference in speed and close the gap over the straight.FittingMechanics wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 23:44When I looked at the data it does not look as if McLaren is "faster in relative terms" on the straight. The majority of the gain is through the twisty bit (sector 3) and on most straights VER is either gaining or roughly the same.mwillems wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 19:05On the fastest laps of Norris and Max, the gaps were bigger at the corner exits than the end of the straights. Only on the longest straight when DRS is open did the RB start to increase the speed differential.venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 18:17
Let's agree to disagree, as per my understanding, McLaren were in a lower engine mode (clue : with those rear/front wings, their Vmax before T6 and T9 is 4-5 kph slower than the Redbull, and the Redbull wings are more loaded actually) and hence the 'gap' is really big. Let's wait for Q and R.
This is why you see the Mclaren "slower" on the straights. They are faster, in relative terms, in that the Mclaren is gaining speed quicker than the RB, but starting from a lower speed.
They may well be taking it easy in the corners or just struggling.
It'd be foolish to guess at this point. But they sure as hell aren't lacking power, in fact, they appear to actually have more, especially since they are closing the speed gap with the bigger wings, as you mentioned.
F1 made a video comparing the laps. Not sure if you saw it.