I was totally wrong about sector3, Max was only a few hundreths slower than both Mclarens in S3. It can only be one/both of two things :venkyhere wrote: ↑05 Dec 2025, 16:46From the data, Norris was in lower engine mode than Max in FP2, and still faster by 4 tenths in Q and around 5-6 tenths in R simulations. RB21 also showing much bigger 'deg' than the McL39. In the real Q and R, I think this gap is going to be 5 tenths and 8-9 tenths, respectively. The difference in the off-camber corners of Sector3 is almost comical. I think this is too much a gap for Redbull to bridge. I can't see beyond a pole to flags victory for Norris this weekend. The advantage over the 'next best' car on this track, is even bigger than it was in 2024. Norris will win his 1st WDC with a cool P1 with some 30s margin over P2.
Piastri looks lost.
- Max was hiding pace (as much as 4 tenths) in S3 throughout the weekend, until Q3 (he did show a sub 30s in the second Q2 run, but 29.6 in Q3 is an insane sector time, gaining 0.55 w.r.t FP2)
- Redbull actually fixed the understeer overnight.
For all the talk of Vmax, the 'tow' that Max got, what the lap traces (F1insightshub.com) show, is that his Vmax gain was 2kph only. The Mclarens were nearly equal in top speed to the Redbull, SO INDEED McL WERE RUNNING MUCH LOWER ENGINE MODE IN FP2 (@mwillems, please note). Where Max 'gained' his S2 time, it was in the slow corners T5 and the T6-7 chicane.
Can't fault both Mclaren drivers at all, they did their job professionally, mistake free. Just that Redbull did their typical Fri->Sat improvement.
Anyway, it's brilliantly setup for tomorrow. Contrary to popular belief, it's going to be Piastry that Norris has to be worried about, and not get distracted into an ego-battle with Max into T1. I expect Piastri to be all-risk-all-attack into T1 tomorrow, as he will aim to jump Max. If Max has a bad start, T1 will be even juicier

