

Not sure why Vanja is analysing a render that is quite obviously different to the real thing.SilviuAgo wrote: ↑23 Jan 2026, 18:15Courtesy of @Vanja:
Mercedes W17 - First Analysis
Simple front wing shown, but very detailed floor fence and sidepods that form a massive wing area
Beautiful sculpting by Mercedes F1 engineers
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G_QgJkjWcAA ... =4096x4096
https://pbs.twimg.com/media/G_QhEF6WwAA ... name=large
Any specific reasons? I am not confident about Mercedes' aero team just yet. I still think Toto will come to regret the deal he made with McLaren about the engines. Unless Mercedes can eke out the packaging advantage that comes with a new engine regulation, I don't think they'd be better than McLaren. It's not clear to me they have the same strength and depth in their technical team pre budget cap era. But I might be completely mistaken and they'll basically repeat 2014
I think FIA has too much say over the overall shape of the cars. The noses from 2012 were forced to be lower because Schumacher was nearly poked in the head by a Force India in Abu Dahbi 2010. Then the ugly step noses came, then the vanity panels too hide the ugliness. It was a mess. FIA just lost sight of it all and became ever more strict with the regulation box to keep the noses to some aesthetic standard.
Agree with the intention, almost "chimney" like in driving the flow vertical, possibly to clear the the general flow along the side of car.venkyhere wrote: ↑24 Jan 2026, 15:13So far, most teams have 'revealed' renders and many experts have analyzed them. While we are all sure that the real thing can be completely different when the covers are removed for the Bahrain test, what I find really intriguing, is the front floor fence/bargeboard. For GE era, it was outwashing and the sidepod undercut beautifully married with it, to push out the front wheel wake. This time, we can see the same sidepod undercut, but it's 'inwashing' bargeboard (regulation forced) and the teams have put 'up and out' washing slats in them, to create some semblance of outwash. Not sure if this is really going to the real solution, I have a feeling different teams are going to surprise us with different things, w.r.t 'how to combat the inwashing bargeboard' when the real car is revealed in Bahrain.
- End of ground effect car that they never mastered.f1isgood wrote: ↑24 Jan 2026, 00:26Any specific reasons? I am not confident about Mercedes' aero team just yet. I still think Toto will come to regret the deal he made with McLaren about the engines. Unless Mercedes can eke out the packaging advantage that comes with a new engine regulation, I don't think they'd be better than McLaren. It's not clear to me they have the same strength and depth in their technical team pre budget cap era. But I might be completely mistaken and they'll basically repeat 2014![]()
Of the cars we have seen you could definitely make the argument that Merc looks best. But we haven’t seen four cars: Williams (seemingly in crisis mode right now so Merc probably has them covered), a car from Newey, and cars from the two teams who won over 20 races the previous year. It’s far from a sure thing that Merc will be better than all of those. They haven’t made a championship-capable car in five years. That’s a long time, no matter what the ruleset is.Jambier wrote: ↑24 Jan 2026, 16:31- End of ground effect car that they never mastered.f1isgood wrote: ↑24 Jan 2026, 00:26Any specific reasons? I am not confident about Mercedes' aero team just yet. I still think Toto will come to regret the deal he made with McLaren about the engines. Unless Mercedes can eke out the packaging advantage that comes with a new engine regulation, I don't think they'd be better than McLaren. It's not clear to me they have the same strength and depth in their technical team pre budget cap era. But I might be completely mistaken and they'll basically repeat 2014![]()
- New engine seems the benchmark
- Chassis/PU integration
- Flawless shakedown
- Feeling that they are happy
I don’t see any other team that did that for now.
We also have Alpine but they will not beat Mercedes, they could be a surprise though
But of course let’s wait for winter testing to end but all lights are green for Mercedes right now
I think we can't just ignore the first point. That points to fundamental weakness in their technical organization in my view. But let's wait for winter testing to end. Because so far we have not seen what lights the other teams are flaggingJambier wrote: ↑24 Jan 2026, 16:31- End of ground effect car that they never mastered.f1isgood wrote: ↑24 Jan 2026, 00:26Any specific reasons? I am not confident about Mercedes' aero team just yet. I still think Toto will come to regret the deal he made with McLaren about the engines. Unless Mercedes can eke out the packaging advantage that comes with a new engine regulation, I don't think they'd be better than McLaren. It's not clear to me they have the same strength and depth in their technical team pre budget cap era. But I might be completely mistaken and they'll basically repeat 2014![]()
- New engine seems the benchmark
- Chassis/PU integration
- Flawless shakedown
- Feeling that they are happy
I don’t see any other team that did that for now.
We also have Alpine but they will not beat Mercedes, they could be a surprise though
But of course let’s wait for winter testing to end but all lights are green for Mercedes right now