2026 Pecking order predictions

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spade16
spade16
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Joined: 06 Aug 2024, 13:46

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Everyone getting caught up in the Ferrari hype but there was nothing impressive about Lewis’s race sims or quali runs yesterday

It’s Mercedes in front with McLaren right with them or just behind. Ferrari will be a distant 3rd/4th with Max being a dark horse

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Xero
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Joined: 28 Jan 2014, 15:11
Location: Moray, Scotland

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Isn't it mad to think we've just one test session left before we go racing, and we still can't all agree on the order of the front 4. I think tomorrow will paint a better picture, teams will need to get a read on peak performance. Each of the top 4 has something to make them stand out as the best car in certain areas. Mercedes seems like a good all rounder, Red Bull with it's impressive straight line speed and efficiency, Ferrari with their slow speed traction and rocket starts, and McLaren with high speed corner performance. If those traits carry we'll get some wild track dependant swings.

SB15
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Joined: 15 Feb 2025, 22:47

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Xero wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:55
Isn't it mad to think we've just one test session left before we go racing, and we still can't all agree on the order of the front 4. I think tomorrow will paint a better picture, teams will need to get a read on peak performance. Each of the top 4 has something to make them stand out as the best car in certain areas. Mercedes seems like a good all rounder, Red Bull with it's impressive straight line speed and efficiency, Ferrari with their slow speed traction and rocket starts, and McLaren with high speed corner performance. If those traits carry we'll get some wild track dependant swings.
Verstappen, Norris, Leclerc (all-day), and Russell will be in the evening session so we'll see a sort of "glimpse" of the pecking order tomorrow when they do their fast laps.
Last edited by SB15 on 20 Feb 2026, 01:35, edited 1 time in total.

upsidedowntoast
upsidedowntoast
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Joined: 10 Feb 2026, 20:38

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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SB15 wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 01:18
Xero wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:55
Isn't it mad to think we've just one test session left before we go racing, and we still can't all agree on the order of the front 4. I think tomorrow will paint a better picture, teams will need to get a read on peak performance. Each of the top 4 has something to make them stand out as the best car in certain areas. Mercedes seems like a good all rounder, Red Bull with it's impressive straight line speed and efficiency, Ferrari with their slow speed traction and rocket starts, and McLaren with high speed corner performance. If those traits carry we'll get some wild track dependant swings.
Norris, Leclerc (all-day), and Russell will be in the evening session so we'll see a sort of "glimpse" of the pecking order tomorrow when they do their fast laps.
you gotta wonder if the teams colluded to set it up that way on purpose

SB15
SB15
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Joined: 15 Feb 2025, 22:47

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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upsidedowntoast wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 01:28
SB15 wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 01:18
Xero wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:55
Isn't it mad to think we've just one test session left before we go racing, and we still can't all agree on the order of the front 4. I think tomorrow will paint a better picture, teams will need to get a read on peak performance. Each of the top 4 has something to make them stand out as the best car in certain areas. Mercedes seems like a good all rounder, Red Bull with it's impressive straight line speed and efficiency, Ferrari with their slow speed traction and rocket starts, and McLaren with high speed corner performance. If those traits carry we'll get some wild track dependant swings.
Norris, Leclerc (all-day), and Russell will be in the evening session so we'll see a sort of "glimpse" of the pecking order tomorrow when they do their fast laps.
you gotta wonder if the teams colluded to set it up that way on purpose
I just remembered Max more than likely will be in the evening as well.

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Xero
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Joined: 28 Jan 2014, 15:11
Location: Moray, Scotland

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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SB15 wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 01:18
Xero wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:55
Isn't it mad to think we've just one test session left before we go racing, and we still can't all agree on the order of the front 4. I think tomorrow will paint a better picture, teams will need to get a read on peak performance. Each of the top 4 has something to make them stand out as the best car in certain areas. Mercedes seems like a good all rounder, Red Bull with it's impressive straight line speed and efficiency, Ferrari with their slow speed traction and rocket starts, and McLaren with high speed corner performance. If those traits carry we'll get some wild track dependant swings.
Verstappen, Norris, Leclerc (all-day), and Russell will be in the evening session so we'll see a sort of "glimpse" of the pecking order tomorrow when they do their fast laps.
Norris has had both morning sessions this week, with Piastri in the afternoons. Will be another split day tomorrow, but likely switched around I believe.

Seanspeed
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Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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dialtone wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:05
Seanspeed wrote:
19 Feb 2026, 23:43
dialtone wrote:
19 Feb 2026, 20:11

Not very useful if mcl can’t get off the line on starts though, is it?
If you honestly believe Mercedes are starting as good as they possibly could. They wouldn't have any motivation to make their starts look worse than normal, would they.....
So there's no problem with starts then, we can keep them as is.
That's not what I said.

Mercedes and customers could easily just dial back their potential by a percentage.

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AR3-GP
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Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Seanspeed wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 03:06


Mercedes and customers could easily just dial back their potential by a percentage.
It doesn't affect the starts much. Mercedes has a larger turbo. That's it. That's why their starts are worse.
Beware of T-Rex

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AR3-GP
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Joined: 06 Jul 2021, 01:22

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Xero wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:55
Isn't it mad to think we've just one test session left before we go racing, and we still can't all agree on the order of the front 4.
I don't think there's much left to the imagination. I think it's quite clear that Mercedes is competitive enough to win races. The only question left is who their main rival will be. Ferrari or Mclaren. Mclaren is sharing the PU so they have a more natural chance of being close if chassis is also good. Ferrari is the x-factor with their blown diffuser and convertible top DRS system.
Beware of T-Rex

edu2703
edu2703
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Location: Brazil

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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spade16 wrote:
20 Feb 2026, 00:44
Everyone getting caught up in the Ferrari hype but there was nothing impressive about Lewis’s race sims or quali runs yesterday

It’s Mercedes in front with McLaren right with them or just behind. Ferrari will be a distant 3rd/4th with Max being a dark horse
Day 2 was quite atypical for Ferrari with fewer laps. I would definitely wait for Charles on Day 3 before making any judgment about Ferrari's position.

Leclerc's lap times will certainly be something I'll be watching very closely on this last day of testing. That's what will define where I'll place Ferrari in my prediction, which is my doubt so far. The rest is basically set, unless some team does something extraordinary on this last day.

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Alo_Fan
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Joined: 05 Mar 2023, 14:49

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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1. Ferrari/Mercedes
3. McLaren/Red Bull
5. Haas
6. Alpine/Visa
8. Williams
9. Audi
10. Cadillac/AMR

Roman
Roman
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Joined: 05 Oct 2014, 22:34

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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It seems like we will have F1A with
1. Ferrari and Merc
3. McLaren and RB

F1 B with
5. Alpine and Williams
7. Audi, Haas and Toro Rosso

and F1 C with
10. Cadillac and AM.

DNFs aside F1B will fight for P9 and P10. For the WCC it could be extremely important to score points early in the season before all F1A teams become bulletproof.

Ferrari powered teams could have a huge advantage with their possible superior starts and difficulties to overtake.

f1isgood
f1isgood
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Joined: 31 Oct 2022, 19:52
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Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Ferrari
McLaren/Mercedes

Gap

Red Bull

Bigger Gap

Alpine/Toro Rosso/Audi
Williams
Cadillac

Aston Martin will be in the bottom 5 if they manage to finish the race at Melbourne.
The FIA folds on a royal flush.

FittingMechanics
FittingMechanics
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Joined: 19 Feb 2019, 12:10

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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McLaren
Ferrari
Mercedes
Red Bull

McLaren will be faster on tracks with less straights, Ferrari on those with more.

Melbourne McLaren.

nitrotech
nitrotech
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Joined: 10 Dec 2024, 16:30

Re: 2026 Pecking order predictions

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Finally, a decent race start for Mercedes where George held his position from pole, against Leclerc. :lol: