AR3-GP wrote: ↑07 Mar 2026, 16:13
auem123 wrote: ↑07 Mar 2026, 15:27
80 hp in engine and if Alonso's assessment of there is more than a second to unlock in chassis is true, then this car will be comfortably top of the midfield and closer to the leading four. Let's not get carried away.. Mm
This doesn't add up to me. 80hp in Melbourne would be worth 2.1 seconds (15hp = 4 tenths in Australia). Another 1 second on chassis makes 3.1 seconds. Alonso qualified 2.6 seconds away from the Mercedes. So with these numbers The Aston Martin would be half a second in front of Mercedes.
Is that realistic?
Not sure how much of that theoretical 1 second can be realized, but since this is the start of a new reg-set, I imagine most teams, probably even Mercedes, have some low hanging fruit to pick on the chassis side. By the time Aston finds one second in the chassis, Mercedes may find over half a second in theirs. Thinking back to 2022, the AMR22 was maybe 6th fastest car by the end of the year, but if the Abu Dahbi spec-AMR22 had shown up to the Bahrain GP it'd probably have been top 3 (although with Vettel out with COVID maybe that wouldn't have been apparent in that theoretical scenario, and the "armchair wing" might have been banned if it was introduced that early in the season).
Question is which teams will best succeed in realizing their theoretical potential, and which ones will over-invest in dead-end development directions. And of course if Honda can deliver that 80hp increase without introducing new issues.