i'm not saying that the analysis is wrong, infact it helped me a lot to understand air behaviour at high velocity.
N12ck wrote: the upper side has a larger surface area than the under side, the reason wings make low pressure on the under side is that the air has more surface area to cover than the upper side so if the upper side has more surface area than the under side then it is more likely it will create lift rather than downforce
The problem is not the exposed surface (a wing can produce DF even with one of the sides completely neutral). The problems of that nose are mainly 2:
1°: that splitter creates too much high pressure, making it impossible for the air to go upward and thus it does not create a "diffuser" effect
2°: that splitter acts as wall, deviating part of the mass of the upwashed flow, creating lift.
What astonishes me is this: since the lift described in the 2°point is generated purely by the inertia of the particles, how on earth is possible that this force is way stronger than the down-forces generated by the rest of the wing???