Some interesting reasoning by PP:
Chris Balfe, PP wrote:Gerhard Gribkowsky... was sentenced to eight and a half years
in prison for this. Gribkowsky was charged in
July 2011 and his trial started four months later. There is next to no chance that it
would take less time to get Ecclestone in court than Gribkowsky. Don't forget that
Gribkowsky was a German citizen who was already incarcerated in Germany and
whose assets had been frozen. In contrast, Ecclestone is resident in the UK, has
very deep pockets and is a free man.
The big question is whether the case will go to trial at all. Unlike many armchair
legal commentators out there, Pitpass is not going to try to predict the judge's
decision but suffice it to say that the situation is certainly not black or white. In
Formula One it rarely is.
At a very basic level, it could put the court in somewhat of a Catch 22 if there was
a trial which finds Ecclestone innocent of paying the alleged bribe.
Ecclestone is already represented by several of the best corporate lawyers in
Germany and the judge will be well aware that the F1 boss will put up one of the
biggest fights they have ever seen. If it leads to him being found innocent of
paying the alleged bribe then that may well call into question why Gribkowsky
was imprisoned for receiving it. Not only could this publicly embarrass the
German court but it could also expose it to a damages claim from Gribkowsky.
On the face of it, this argument may sound counter-intuitive as it could seem hard
to imagine how Ecclestone could be found innocent of paying the bribe given that
Gribkowsky has already been found guilty of receiving it. However, it isn't as
straightforward as that.
This is largely because, as Pitpass reported just over a year ago, the verdict of
the Gribkowsky case could not be used in a trial against Ecclestone. All of the
pertinent facts would have to be proved from first principles because it is a
separate case and, crucially, because Ecclestone has not had a chance to address
them – he was simply a witness in the Gribkowsky trial.
Gribkowsky is understood to be the star witness in the prosecution's case against
Ecclestone. The case is said to hinge on Gribkowsky's admission in court last year
that the payment to him was a bribe to ensure that he would sell BayernLB's
47.2% stake in F1 to CVC. He claimed that at a meeting in 2005 Ecclestone told
him, "if you help me to sell Formula One, I will employ you as a consultant."
The prosecutors believe that CVC was Ecclestone's preferred buyer as it had
agreed to retain him as F1's boss. They also claim that selling to CVC reduced the
value of the bank's stake in F1 as other buyers could have paid more.
Ecclestone denies this and, as Pitpass' business editor Christian Sylt revealed in
July 2011, he claims that Gribkowsky threatened to make false allegations about
his tax affairs if the money was not paid.
Essentially it is a case of 'he said, she said' however there is one crucial
difference. This difference is that Gribkowsky is now in prison and this could make
him a discredited witness. True, Gribkowsky's incarceration is directly linked to
the crime which Ecclestone has been accused of but the problem is compounded
by the fact that he changed his testimony several times.
Gribkowsky initially claimed that the payment to him was for consultancy work
but he is understood to have switched to a guilty plea to reduce his sentence
when it became clear that the court would decide against him. The fact that
Gribkowsky has pleaded both innocent and guilty is proof that he is prepared to
give false details in court. Coupled with the fact that Gribkowsky is now in prison,
he does not seem to be a credible witness and if the prosecution's case hinges on
him the judge may decide that it isn't worth risking going ahead with a trial. Lack
of credibility may not be the only problem with Gribkowsky's testimony.
Writing in the City A.M. newspaper Sylt reveals that, according to Ecclestone's
lawyer Sven Thomas, there is no record of the meeting when Ecclestone allegedly
arranged the bribe with Gribkowsky. "In his witness statement Gribkowsky
described a meeting in April or May 2005 when Bernie said 'I will take care of
you'. We can not find the records of this. We have checked all possible meetings
and I covered the next months too," says Thomas.
He adds that "there was an appointment on 20 June but we do not know whether
they met then. Bernie does not remember whether he met Gribkowsky then." It
took place the day after an infamous US Grand Prix in Indianapolis when only six
cars took part due to safety concerns over the Michelin tyres.
Thomas says that "I found out it was the day after the race with six cars so it is
quite impossible that there would have been a meeting about corporate
governance because there were other topics which were a little bit more
important in Formula One. Gribkowsky had to be aware at that time that the
value of Formula One shot down because of Indianapolis."
Ecclestone says that his position is not in danger as a result of being charged and
a source close to CVC says that it "could have asked Bernie to leave at any time
over the past three years but we haven't because we support him." Time will tell
whether the judge in Germany is also on his side.
The first point is the time it will take to start a trial. Ecclestone was indicted on May 10th. So if we go by the precedence of the Gribkowsky trial the trial should commence September 10th, which is exactly what the court itself has said to the press in Germany.
The next question is if the judge will actually calla trial at all. I'm pretty certain of that, because he told the world that in his opinion Gribkowsky has been lead into crime by Ecclestone. Noll has shown some perseverance in the prosecution of Mr. Ecclestone by pushing the proceedings this far and not giving in to proposals of paying off the claims of the bank and be done with the affair.
Third Balfe speculates that Gribkowsky would be the sole witness and not be a reliable witness because he changed his testimony. I don't believe this is correct either. There will probably be some investigation and witnesses from the Bluewater complex. They claim they offered a higher price and showing this as fact will be crucial for the state's position. Additionally Ecclestone has changed his testimony as well and he was initially not under accusation. Initially he has completely denied that he paid at all. Only confronted with inescapable evidence he admitted to paying and has said it was not a bribe but a shakedown.
I think Chris Balfe is running some PR here for Bernie. His points do not come across very convincing.