Earnard Beccelstone wrote:
Usually, one or two teams dominate a season, sometimes with a third team close in tow. Then there's daylight to the midfield runners and a huge gap to the rear of the field.
The technical freezes of 2009-2013, tightened the field tightened up in terms of pace differential, but generally speaking, it was RedBull and one other team that scored the majority of points. The last time I can think of when there were four teams that consistently scored wins and podiums was 1997 (Williams, Benetton, Ferrari and McLaren all within ).
Yep, you're basically correct.
2009 - Red Bull and Brawn fighting for the championship
2010 - Red Bull and Ferrari fighting for the championship
2011 - Red Bull fighting for the championship
2012 - Red Bull and Ferrari fighting for the championship, McLaren stealing some race wins but too unreliably to be a contender
2013 - Red Bull fighting for the championship, Lotus stealing some points but too late to do anything about the RB9
Basically, from 09-13 we got 2 extremely bad, boring championships (11 and 13), 2 OK ones that were won by having the best car for most of the season (09 and 12), and a decent one where both manufacturers and 3 drivers were in with a shot the majority of the time (10).
Possibly there may have been 3-4 teams in 05-07 (???), Renault, Ferrari and McLaren at least,
maybe BMW (perhaps too early for them), Red Bull hadn't made it out of the midfield yet...
Breaking out of the midfield this year and into serious championship contention (defined by a predicted lack of surprise if/when they manage 3 wins in a row), we've definitely got Mercedes, Ferrari is a chance, Williams too (though I would be a tiny bit surprised were they to manage 3 wins in a row). Nobody knows what exactly to expect from Sauber or McLaren, and to a lesser degree Force India (they could still throw a curveball and be very fast at the older European circuits). The Renault cars, especially Red Bull, are expected to be fast, but there's a massive question mark above their heads in terms of reliability and long-term performance.