Phil wrote:Andres125sx wrote:They went to pay tv in 2012, so I agree from that season that may have more influence, but what about the previous seasons?
Andres125sx wrote:So even when I agree PPV is a significant factor, you can´t ignore the audience was decreasing significantly way before PPV
IMO, the data is inconclusive. They could have moved on to other broadcasts (which wouldn't be highlighted here), or decided to watch football on sundays. Or go out. Get a life. There could be so many reasons why the sport declined. Maybe there was a generational shift too (where many old fans stopped watching and not enough young ones picked up on it, prefing to play on their Xboxes and PlayStations than watch a sport on TV). Most probably, I think there were various factors coming together. The problem with the graph is that it only shows "season totals". So technically, you have to devide them by races. Then you got to ask yourself how good was the season in itself? Were there many competitive races or not?
IMO it´s exactly season totals wich bring in the interesting data. If divided by races then the graph will depend on how good/boring that particular race was, but when it´s the total season you get a more realistic data about the average situation of the sport
Phil wrote:As it stands, the data is simply too big to pin-point it to a singular factor (competitiveness). If it had something to do with competitiveness, we would have seen 2005 as a good year, not only 2006 (both won by Alonso). 2007 couldn't have been more epic, though perhaps the absence of Schumacher helped out - but in terms of out right excitement, it had all the ingredients, Hamilton and Alonso as team-mates, Kimi right in there too.
Agree on this, I don´t get the reason 2005 and 2007 don´t show an increase, but looking at the most boring seasons lately they all show a drop (2000-2004, 2009, 2011, 2013) and that cannot be a coincidence. Obviously there are many reasons for TV audience to vary, but this is a pattern no analyst would ignore
Phil wrote: The sport is as competitive at the moment as it has ever been. Mercedes at the moment is no more dominant than Redbull/Vettel was in 2011.
2011 is far from an example about how F1 should be. One team and driver domination, one of the most boring F1 seasons ever with the champion getting almost 5 races advantage over 2nd clasified (392 vs 270), and champion team getting 3.5 races advantage (650 vs 497)
So yes, at the moment F1 is similary boring to one of the most boring seasons ever
Phil wrote:And there are more overtakes than there have been in a long time, thanks still to DRS.
Yes today there are more overtakes than there have been in a long time, but also they´re not a half as exciting as they usually were because overtaking with DRS has no merit at all since your car is around 15km/h faster, so drivers do not take risks because they know it´s not necesary, just wait to the straight and you have an easy overtake
They´ve managed to ruin the most exciting part of racing, today not even overtaking is exciting
Obviously it will always depend on cars differences, but you get what I mean
Phil wrote:I'm not sure what else the sport can do that it is not already doing in trying to make the "racing better".
I have some ideas, but mainly stop patching the sport and start solving the real problem, aero. DRS, crappy tires, engine freeze.... all are patches wich do not solve the real problem, aero is the main responsible for the two main problems F1 suffer, excesive costs and lack of on-track excitement/battles
For some reason they don´t want to freeze aero so they´re patching the sport with tires that wear intentionally to cause big pace differences and allow some overtaking, with DRS systems wich make up overtaking numbers but have ruined a big part of the excitement overtaking had always been, and with engine freeze wich are a joke for the suposed pinnacle of motorsports
Instead of ignoring aero problem, solve it, and you can get rid of many patches FIA has been implementing lately. Racing will be so much better I really can´t get the reason they don´t do it. I guess it must be related to the top teams being happy with their development potential, with frozen aero they´d struggle a lot more to beat midfielders. But imagine F1 with these changes:
1- Frozen aero (instead of engines) and it must avoid turbulences so cars can get closer. Only this change will make F1 day and night compared to today´s situation. Both racing side and costs side
2- Stop this crappy tires, different strategies are fine, but tires shouldn´t be chewing gum. Marbles are a big problem, they can´t get out of the line at last part of the race, solve it.
3- Once aero allow cars getting closer, ban DRS or do it full active aero for everyone. With cars getting closer you don´t need DRS, they can start the straights close to his rival and use the slipstream or simply attack at the braking, but they need to be able to start the straights close to the car in front
I agree frozen aero is not the best scenario, but frozen engines isn´t either and that´s what we have today. If some important part of the cars must be frozen aero will be way way more effective, both to improve racing and to control costs
Phil wrote: At some point, it has to be careful not to make it too artificial.
IMHO we reached that point some seasons back. DRS and crappy tires to cause artificial overtakes was that point. It is a very particular point of view, but IMO overtaking has always been the most exciting part of racing, but it was when they could fight on equal conditions. Today they don´t fight on equal conditions and that´s not the only problem, but since they have that advantage we don´t see overtakings at any other part of the tracks because it´s absurd to risk when you have such a big advantage on the straights
Obviously there are exceptions when a car is too slow (top speed) compared to his rival and not even DRS solve the problem. In this case that driver must take some risk at some other part of the track, but these are exceptions, the norm is "do not asume any risk because you can overtake easy on the straights". Awful norm for any racing category if you ask me, overtaking must be a big part of the sport, and real overtaking wich require brave drivers, not this artificial gadget DRS is. This is a must change