Where will McLaren finish in Monaco (prediction)

[McMrocks]

As this is a technical forum i'd say they will finish in the parc ferme unless they retire or crash out. After the race the car will be subject to a scrutineering where fuel samples are taken, the plank wear is meassured and many other things are checked

[graham.reeds]

Double DNF.

Alonso tangles with Hulkenburg losing front wing and collides with barrier at the hairpin (turn 6) and Button breaks down in the tunnel but manages to limp out and down the hill to safety.

[godlameroso]

What we need is rain, so start singing boys and girls!!

It's still early but it may happen according to the current forecasts..

Weather forecast always promise rain but they fail. It would be great but I dont believe it until I can see it in front of my very eyes.

Rain is starting to seem more likely for the race, although you can't say for sure.

[zac510]

I love and hate these prediction threads. In the pre-season I threatened to make some people accoutable for their wild predictions:

Anyway, here goes:

I think they'll finish top 5

Half correct

i bet for 6-10

Half correct

We all know Monaco is all about qualy so I would hope in top 5, but if it is boring race I would say 6-8 place

Negative

Technically if they do have the third best chassis like they say they do, they should be just behind Mercedes red bull and Ferrari, so that would mean qualifying 7-8 but I belive they will be fighting with Toro Rossi for those places, so qualifying anywhere in between 7-10 should be expected with maybe a 1.2-1.5 second gap to the lead

Half correct

McLaren's tire choice does not inspire confidence. At best, 7th and 9th.

Half correct

8 - 12 place. I predict bad luck for them.

Half correct

So, if all goes as planned they would fight wirh the STRs and FIs behind the RBRs, Mercs and Ferraries for place 7.
Mix that with the Monaco magic and Monaco bad luck, I would say, 5th and 9th

Whoa!

ALO 2nd BUT 10th

Negative

Both to finish in top 8.

Negative

One retire, one 6th.

Half correct

Presuming nothing messy happens up front: RET, and 10th.
If something messy happens: RET and 8th.

Negative

It will be a tough battle because TR should be strong here. I think Saiz will be ahead of both McLaren.

Negative

i'd say 6th & 7th, just in front of STR.

Half correct

I think they'll beat Sainz, but otherwise, yeah .. Alonso 7th, Button 8th.

Negative

I think they have every chance of 7 and 8 but can't see how they progress beyond that without problems for others.

Negative

Bulls, Mercs, Ferrari's, Sainz i think 8th and 9th

Half correct

As this is a technical forum i'd say they will finish in the parc ferme unless they retire or crash out. After the race the car will be subject to a scrutineering where fuel samples are taken, the plank wear is meassured and many other things are checked

Correct!

Double DNF.

Negative

2 correct out of 18.

I think these threads are pretty pointless and should be locked on this, a technical forum.

[Jolle]

So, what do I win?

[Miguel]

I think these threads are pretty pointless and should be locked on this, a technical forum.

Au contraire! Where's the fun in predicting where will Mercedes qualify in Canada? Mid-grid teams are much better. For example, come Canada, the engine will regain importance, but traction and braking is crucial. I believe the RBR is the best car at braking this year. So for the next GP, will RBR go backwards due to engine, stay level with Ferrari (engine vs. mechanical grip) or will they rock the world? Even better, will Sergio Perez, fresh from a podium in Monaco, and with strong historic performance in Montreal, do a double?

I say trying to predict the result for a different mid-grid team each race is good. Plus you get to look at cars other than the usual suspects.

[OneAlex]

I'll hold my hands up, they did better than I expected them to. I was doubly wrong because I thought they'd come a cropper on strategy due to rustiness but they actually made a good call with Alonso.

Presumably Jolle is now going down to the shop to go and buy a lottery ticket.

[Jolle]

I'll hold my hands up, they did better than I expected them to. I was doubly wrong because I thought they'd come a cropper on strategy due to rustiness but they actually made a good call with Alonso.

Presumably Jolle is now going down to the shop to go and buy a lottery ticket.

Nah, it's still 5% skills and 95% luck

[Andres125sx]

I'll hold my hands up, they did better than I expected them to. I was doubly wrong because I thought they'd come a cropper on strategy due to rustiness but they actually made a good call with Alonso.

A spanish newspaper says Alonso asked the team to stay out one more lap because he was watching (cant remember the driver) who was, with slicks, fast on S1 but slow on S2 and S3, so he asked the team to stay out one more lap, and that allow him to pass Vettel and Hulkemberg

Not sure if real or not tough

[Andres125sx]

Hmmm, nice prediction game!

So, if all goes as planned they would fight wirh the STRs and FIs behind the RBRs, Mercs and Ferraries for place 7.
Mix that with the Monaco magic and Monaco bad luck, I would say, 5th and 9th

OMG, right in the center! =D>


When I read this post these predictions looked extremely optimist in my mind, I´m glad I was wrong

[Samraj_official]

Hmmm, nice prediction game!

So, if all goes as planned they would fight wirh the STRs and FIs behind the RBRs, Mercs and Ferraries for place 7.
Mix that with the Monaco magic and Monaco bad luck, I would say, 5th and 9th

wowwww!!!!!!

[zac510]

I think these threads are pretty pointless and should be locked on this, a technical forum.

Au contraire! Where's the fun in predicting where will Mercedes qualify in Canada? Mid-grid teams are much better. For example, come Canada, the engine will regain importance, but traction and braking is crucial. I believe the RBR is the best car at braking this year. So for the next GP, will RBR go backwards due to engine, stay level with Ferrari (engine vs. mechanical grip) or will they rock the world? Even better, will Sergio Perez, fresh from a podium in Monaco, and with strong historic performance in Montreal, do a double?

I say trying to predict the result for a different mid-grid team each race is good. Plus you get to look at cars other than the usual suspects.

Well I think it's just onanism unless you or someone else is involved and keeping track of the results, checking whether you were correct or not after the event. That's why I quoted all these people - to make them accountable. Most people would just rather forget their bad prediction.

Overall I like the thread because it's a perfect example of how humans love to make predictions but are utterly terrible at it - in other words, your signature is correct ! Really only 1 person out of 18 here were correct but at least he's humble enough to know a lot of luck was involved. For an engineering-type forum, for people to engage in this folly of 95% luck is very surprising. It'd be interesting if people included some data in their predictions - it might actually improve the level of accuracy.

When I read this post these predictions looked extremely optimist in my mind, I´m glad I was wrong

This is not because of McLaren it's because of human behaviour; scientifically tested and proven to be optimistic. Another flaw in human logic is having the belief that a more detailed prediction is more likely to occur.

[pob]

If only there was some sort of game where you predict the result of the next race and be given points for how right you are

[dodds_turbo]

If only there was some sort of game where you predict the result of the next race and be given points for how right you are

I think you're on to something here... Wonder if it'll ever take off, probably not too popular.

[skoop]

If only there was some sort of game where you predict the result of the next race and be given points for how right you are

I think you're on to something here... Wonder if it'll ever take off, probably not too popular.

if someone finds something, please create a thread