Redragon wrote: ↑12 Sep 2017, 14:39
No I am more realisitic, this project had a plan of 10 years to become Worldchampions. It could have been on the first 3 years or at the end of the period eg 7th year. Changing to Renault is not gonna improve the situation on long term as they will loose exclusivity on engine and become a costumer team and the money from Honda. When Horner and Redbull are shaking their hands and welcome the swap I would rethink my choices as Mclaren team.
This is a case of completely rewriting history, both Mclaren and Honda were talking about a slow start to 2015 but hoping to go for podiums after summer and wins by the end of the year. It wasn't till a few races into the season they said wins not till 2016, but they hope to be pushing for podiums end of 2015. It was several more races forward after one of their first upgrades they started talking about 2015(not the first 7 years) as a test season.
Honda was in for wins in the first year and hoping to compete for titles from the second year, saying otherwise now is ridiculous. It was a 10 year deal length, nothing more or less, it has zero implications for how long they thought it would become to be world champions.
HPD wrote: ↑12 Sep 2017, 19:25
You are wrong. Red Bull is losing a very good driver who is Sainz, for a deal with Honda. Why?
You'll know it in 2019
The previous 3 months of so has been Sainz looking to move from RBR and RBR saying there isn't a spot in the senior team for him. He was off soon enough anyway. He's a decent driver who makes quite a few large mistakes and isn't close to Ricciardo or Verstappen level, ultimately there is only so long they'd stick with a guy who wouldn't make it into their senior team. In other words don't read that much into it, they were off anyway. RBR is offloading a lot of cost of their second team they've already been rumoured to be looking to sell and they pushed off a driver who wanted out in part of the deal to save millions on TR's budget.
loner wrote: ↑12 Sep 2017, 21:20
iam actually putting a possibility for Redbull-Honda in 2018 if the spec 4 will battle them in the last few races.
The biggest mistake that has happened in the past decade of F1(probably several) was rushing in with an unknown engine and giving up an engine that was long in development and rumoured to be excellent. At least in 2013 just how good the Mercedes engine was an unknown, though 18 months and rushing a Honda for 2015 was known to be a bad idea at the time. What you're suggesting is that RBR might give up a significantly better engine for a engine with a far worse track record, it would be even dafter than what Mclaren did in 2013.
No top team with any wish to compete will take the Honda engine before it proves itself, and proving itself would mean finishing a season in 7 or less engines AND showing similar to Renault performance. Until Honda achieve that there is no reason to risk switching. The extreme earliest I think any bigger team would consider switching back to Honda (basically Mclaren or RBR, or even Williams/FI), would be 2019 and that is only if 2018 went extremely well. Personally I doubt on Honda's ability to deliver an engine reliable nor fast enough in 2018 for anyone else to take that risk for 2019.
RBR are currently not happy with Renault because of their reliability, the fact that people think they'll switch to Honda with their track record is astonishing to me.