FrukostScones wrote: ↑14 May 2018, 13:24
Not sour at all that Ferrari lost but only interesting that the predicted occured. Merc having no tyre problems at all on those "tailored" -0.4mm tread tyres.
That is not completely accurate though, is it? Everyone was struggling with the SS tires, at least in FP2. There was a clear trend suggesting that the SS had issues on this track. In QF it was extremely close between Ferrari and Mercedes. I think some of you are just hung-up on that Ferrari gambled with the S vs Mercedes who nailed an even better lap on the SS.
To illustrate:
Q1 - Ferrari/Vettel 1:17.031 (SS)
Q2 - Ferrari/Vettel 1:16.802 (S)
Q3-1 - Ferrari/Vettel 1:17.255 (SS)
Q3-2 - Ferrari/Vettel 1:16.305 (S)
Q1 - Mercedes/Hamilton 1:17.633 (SS)
Q2 - Mercedes/Bottas 1:17.111 (S)
Q3-1 - Mercedes/Hamilton 1:16.491 (SS)
Q3-2 - Mercedes/Hamilton 1:16.173 (SS)
Q3-2 - RedBull/Verstappen 1:16.816 (SS)
Q3-2 - RedBull/Ricciardo 1:16.818 (S)
Evidently from the above Vettel (Kimi too btw) had slower Q3 lap times than even their Q1 attempt on the same SS tire. This suggest that something clearly went wrong and following the on-board laps, it is quite evident that both made a mistake into T1. Maybe Ferrari panicked seeing that huge gap to Mercedes (7 tenths something) and then decided to gamble on Softs.
Going by expected evolution of times between Q1 and Q3, one had to assume that the Ferrari should have been easily capable of doing a mid 1.16 time on the SS in Q3 with everything turned up. Only Ferrari know why they decided to use their soft set. Looking at the RedBull and what pretty much everyone said, is that the difference between the soft and the SS was marginal around this track under those conditions.
Perhaps people should stop making the 0.4mm change responsible.
Yes, during the race, it seemed Mercedes dominated, but that could easily be down to fuel saving, something that was already evident in Winter-testing and at Melbourne this year. Even throughout the other 3 races, it seemed Mercedes had fantastic pace during the race, although some of it was masked by running behind a Ferrari in traffic and dirty air.