Ground Effect wrote:I've been trying to convince myself all day that Carlos would have qualified higher than Lando, and in essence ending up making the gap to the teams ahead slightly smaller. This is by no means a dig at Lando, he's exceeded my expectations, to put it mildly. He seemed a long way behind through out the FP sessions, but came alive when it mattered the most. But if Carlos had made it through, all the way to Q3, maybe he would have qualified higher? So 0.5secs that we have to Haas could come down to, say 0.3secs?
Obviously, there's absolutely no guarantee my speculation is right, but it's a valid talking point, I think.
It’s a valid point, but way too hard to prove / disprove... We have to consider that Lando was building up all through the weekend, on FP1 his car was setup for understeer (which is easier / safer to run than oversteer) in order for him to familiarize himself with the track (first time running in Melbourne) and to also avoid a costly mistake (in terms of running laps, as well as parts)... Which makes the deficit in lap times of the practice sessions a little more understandable and predictable to an extent (no simulator will allow you to fully understand the impact of the different bumps at the track, the initial lack of grip while the track was rubbering in, as well as the G-Forces that you experience).
You also have to consider that achieving an ideal setup for Norris was going to take a bit more time than for Sainz, since Carlos probably knows exactly what he wants from the car and how to get there.
Once qualifying started and is all or nothing, Lando had a chance to really push regardless of the outcome and his lap times show exactly that... Now, does that mean that Carlos couldn’t have been faster than him? Nope... What is clear is that they could have been in within a tenth of each other which would have put them both at least in Q3, that would be a reasonable expectation.
Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk