Sieper wrote: ↑18 Aug 2020, 14:24
Wynters, this is more you wanting to say it than it actually being true;
Stroll moved well out of the way quick enough. That was an incredibly easy overtake. No way Max would have been let through that easily should he have fallen victim to Lance Stroll at the start. In fact, that was my major fear for this race, Max getting stuck behind the RPs at start.
After 5 laps is 'quick enough'? Why not move immediately? Or, at the very latest, end of Lap 1 on the start/finish straight? I'm actually amazed Bottas spent 5 laps behind him, given he's driving the state-of-the-art Mercedes and Stroll is in an the inferior, obsolete version. The lap Bottas cleared Stroll, he went 2.2 seconds faster.
Bear in mind that Racing Point aren't in a race with Mercedes. Every tenth of a second lost worrying about Bottas is a tenth of a second lost to Sainz, Leclerc, Vettel, Albon, Gasly, Norris, etc. During the four racing laps Bottas was behind him, Stroll averaged a 1:25.363 The instant Bottas passes him, his pace drop to the high 1:24s and stays there for the next 13 laps. That's two seconds he lost to his actual competition. If you don't think Stroll has a chance to finish the race ahead of Bottas then losing the time fighting him and risking contact defending hard has NO upside and a whole world full of downsides.
Those early laps Bottas was trapped behind Stroll were potentially crucial. We know the Mercedes are quickest in those opening couple of laps. Hamilton pulled his 1.5 seconds on Verstappen in the first lap. If Bottas had been right on his bumper at the end of lap 1, with maximum energy already harvested and DAS prepared tyres, do you think he'd have been better placed to overtake than on, say lap 7, when he finally caught up to him again?
I'm not sure Bottas would be able to pass Verstappen anyway (Max is much better wheel-to-wheel), but I think he'd have his best chance when the performance delta was 1+ seconds.
Sieper wrote: ↑18 Aug 2020, 14:24
Perez and Kvyat were both very surprised by the blue flag penalty.
Ironic that Kvyat seems to have got his penalty for holding up Verstappen. Agree they did seem surprised, but if it was Turn 6 to Turn 1 as the Stewards said (and if it wasn't, the teams would easily win any appeal) then they've only themselves to blame.
Sieper wrote: ↑18 Aug 2020, 14:24
How did that hurt Hamilton though, he was cruising along with 25 seconds to spare.
He hadn't pitted so the gap was, in reality, smaller. However, the real point is, if Racing Point do what Mercedes tell them to do, why impede Hamilton at all? Surely, Mercedes would simply order Perez out of the way?
Why not order Perez and Stroll to impede Verstappen? Why not order Latiffi, Russell and Ocon to do the same? This is the problem, if there is a giant, multi-team conspiracy designed to slow down an (already slower) competitor, why isn't it active all the time? Why does it only appear a couple of times a season, in random races, often once the Championships are decided? Kvyat impeded Verstappen at this race. Does this mean Mercedes have got to him too? Or is it a sign that these events are largely random and it's only confirmation bias that makes them seemingly part of a greater pattern?
To be honest, if Mercedes were controlling Racing Point, Bottas would've jumped Verstappen at the first pit stops.
If I'm Conspiracy Wolfe, I've got two options.
1) Reactive: The instant Verstappen pits, I order Stroll to switch to a two stop, turn up his engine to Quali mode and push. Even with Red Bull's excellent pitstop, Stroll has a decent chance of being in front of him when he comes out (we know from Stroll's post-race interview that Racing Point were trying to one stop so they were heavily managing their tyres).
2) Active: Bottas closes up to sub-2 seconds (as he did the lap before Verstappen pitted) and, as Verstappen passes the pit entrance, Stroll receives the order to extend his stint and increase tyre management. Bottas 'coincidentally' dives in to the pits and comes out in front of the now much slower Stroll. He puts in a Quali lap and easily undercuts Verstappen.
Both of these are easy to arrange. Neither happened.