SmallSoldier wrote: ↑27 May 2021, 22:07
Mclarensenna wrote:BMMR61 wrote: ↑27 May 2021, 11:19
Could be, these things take time to contextualise. 2021 has shown that Carlos was/is faster than everyone thought and much faster than some thought. He schooled Lando on race craft who was slightly ahead on qualifying and now he is adding the important parts to the equation. It’s generally believed that Lando upped his game this year and is now close to Carlos therefore not much off Charles. He also at 21 has room to improve so is on track to be a serious contender within the next 2-5 years hence the contract extension last week.
yes everybody seems to believe that Lando has upped his game this year. Your first year in F1 sees the biggest gains, maybe a few tenths maybe half a second depending on how much room you had to improve. 2nd year maybe a tenth or 2. Then the law of diminishing returns set in. But 1 thing that is extremely unlikely is somehow Lando found half a second plus magically during an off season (3 months or whatever it was) with no testing allowed. It is basically almost impossible.
Show me an F1 driver with who did not switch teams in their 3rd year somehow gain half a second on his team mate who also did not switch teams and was there in their 3rd plus year together. Not leaving out the most important part, during an off season, with no testing allowed?
I will say both Lando and Carlos are very fast drivers that is not my argument.
But If Carlos had stayed at Mclaren the results would have been the same or very similar to last year. Maybe Lando gained a tenth which even that seems unlikely during an off season, (in season yes) but not half a second all of a sudden during an off season.
What seems to have happened is Ric is struggling to adapt and well off his usual pace.
Some also suggested Stroll upped his game all of a sudden. But then Vettel showed up at Monaco finally.
It’s impossible to quantify improvement in terms of “tenths”... Different cars, different setups, learnings from previous seasons, different conditions at the tracks (temperature, amount of rubber at the racing line, different tire warm up requirements, etc)... To say that Lando is X “tenths” faster than previous year is really conjecture.
What is clear is that he is more confident, not only on the car, but most importantly on himself and what he can do... That is only gained with seat time / miles behind the wheel.
I for one appreciate how he has tackled his F1 career so far, a first rookie year where instead of going for “heroics”, he took care of the car, even if that meant losing positions at the start... No point of going for every gap if your race is ruined in lap 1, making sure that he was finishing those races not only helped the team in terms of points to finish 4th that season, but also allowed him to keep growing as a driver... He probably had close to zero influence in regards to car setup while he was still learning not only what effects some changes have, also how to describe to the team what he needed from the car.
His second season saw an improvement over the first, a bit more confidence, but still cautious, which I argue also helped Mclaren finish 3rd in the standings, he had a great season and even though he was behind Carlos (probably driven by experience more than just outright speed), he held his own during the season and kept improving throughout it while still showing glimpses of great speed in Qualifying... He also managed to do quiet good at the new tracks that were included last season due to Covid (let’s keep in mind that a few of the tracks in his maiden season where probably new to him).
Throughout his first couple of seasons, he kept it outside of the barriers, rarely involved in accidents and those that did happen were mostly outside of his control, that’s one of the best attributes he brought to the team, while been consistent enough to bring home points when the car had the capability of doing so.
He is in his 3rd season and still only 21 years old, he will probably keep developing and honing his skills for at 3-4 years before he starts “peaking”, he will learn from Daniel’s experience and skills... His biggest advantage will be if he can maintain humility and learn from those his racing against and incorporate what they do great into his tool box.
Sent from my iPad using Tapatalk
I got a few replies to this post and appreciate some good input and some good points from everybody.
The main point i made though everybody has completely misquoted and completely misunderstood.
My point is Lando over a 2 year period and 38 race weekends with Carlos seems to have improved of course. We talking 38 races, 38 qualifying sessions, and 80+ practise sessions.
And yes the most improvement in speed and laptime is achieved during the first year and second year then tapers off.
Now what i am talking about is not confidence, less crashes or anything of that sort as thing you can mature even after 15 years in this area and Lando has improved this year it seems sure. Please do not misquote me saying drivers cannot improve and mature. I am just referring to all out race pace and qualifying pace. Laptime raw pace.
That we do not see big improvements in a drivers 3rd year in F1 in the same team and environment.
Remember also Mclaren is a great fun team that made Norris feel at home from day 1. Jumps in performance could possibly be seen switching teams, or switching management if previous was terrible, or massively changing the concept of the car which you hated previously. This could see noticeable gains in lap time from EXTREME changes like this.
Nothing EXTREME has changed in the 3rd year at Mclaren everything is super stable hence my analysis.
So my point is very clear. Lando seems half a second plus quicker than Ric in race pace most races and qualifying even up to a 1 second some laps even we have seen. And some people are suggesting Lando has gained this half a second plus not RIc is struggling to find this half a second plus.
And my point is show me a driver who gained half a second plus during an off season holidaying from the 13th of Dec 2020 Ahbu Dhabi, to the 28th of March with only 3 half days in the car testing/practising.
Certain people are suggesting Lando gained more lap time (half a second plus) on a 3 month holiday then he did in 38 FULL RACE weekends over a FULL 2 year F1 (initial) period which I would estimate at say 3 tenths.
Lando is a very fast driver sure. But he did not gain more laptime on holidays relaxing then he did after 2 years and 38 full race weekends. Ric is struggling and dropped off. That is the only logical conclusion as drivers have in history struggled and dropped off swapping teams. There is evidence of this happening throughout F1 history. But zero evidence of the opposite happening with a driver gaining more speed (half a second plus) in an off season holiday period then 2 previous years (say 3 tenths). (rough estimates)
If people still believe this please show me a previous (similar) example of this happening in F1 history? And I mean has to be the similar as I have been very specific in my analysis and the exact impossible conditions that this has occurred.
As yes I say its impossible. Its never happened before and never will.
Ayrton Senna: Pure driving, pure racing, that´s what makes me happy.