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Mikey_s
Mikey_s
8
Joined: 21 Dec 2005, 11:06

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Just have a look here for a (reasonably) well balanced view of how much oil there is;

http://www.ogp.org.uk/pubs/385.pdf
Mike

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Ciro Pabón
106
Joined: 11 May 2005, 00:31

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mcdenife wrote:ciro wrote:
Nigeria has a democratically elected government. and whilst I agree opec control supply and therefore indirectly prices, I really cannot see why you find OPEC countries being independent a hard proposition to swallow. Or do you mean to imply that oil companies set/fix oil prices indirectly?
[/code]
Mac, Nigeria first president, elected in 2004, after 15 years of military rule, preceded by 13 years of another military rule, is the same guy that was dictator in the 70's. In heaven's name, the country still lacks a constitution!
Wikipedia wrote:This is despite continuing calls for a Sovereign National Conference to discern the genuine will of the people, which the president has deftly sidestepped for eight years, as well as widespread disputes and ethnic violence over the oil producing land of the Niger Delta.
I don't imply anything. I state clearly that the majority of OPEC "rulers dinasties" have been put in place or consolidated by the american, british, french and dutch governments with the intervention of their respective oil companies and this is an historic fact.

The OPEC countries that have managed to overthrow their western appointed rulers are ALL blamed as terrorist nations and this is another fact.

You reach your own conclusions, you're a smart guy, it shows, but pleeze, if I have to say that Exxon have nothing to do with oil price and that is a fault of Ibn Saud, I will need a couple of glasses of water and some sort of emetic. ;)

BTW, I don't blame Exxon for making money. I blame them for the way they make money, a totally different proposition. I believe they would be evil even if they were poor.

Now, about price rigging... which are OPEC's stated intentions? I quote them (it's at the head of their webpage):
OPEC wrote:OPEC’s mission is to coordinate & unify the petroleum policies of Member Countries & ensure the stabilization of oil prices in order to secure an efficient, economic & regular supply of petroleum to consumers, a steady income to producers & a fair return on capital to those investing in the petroleum industry.
I don't know in your country, but in mine that's a price cartel.

Besides, we now know what is a "fair return on capital to those investing in the petroleum industry": the biggest earnings of a company in history! Not even Attila behaved that cinically... :)
Ciro

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f1.redbaron
0
Joined: 31 Jul 2005, 23:29

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First off, I wanted to apologize to all of you that had been dragged into this. I wanted to vent my "anger", and some of you got dragged into this. Sorry!

Mikey_s,

The other day I heard a story on radio about how Kenyan farmers are trying to get Starbucks to pay higher price for their coffee. I cannot remember what the current rate was, but it was low (around 50cents/pound if I remember correctly). Seeking how my coffee costs about $2, and keeping in mind that Starbucks is one of the financially stronger companies (with last year's profits close to 1/2 billion dollars), I refuse to believe that Starbucks' prices are not, let's say - overcompensating their expenditures.

I know that I'm comparing apples and oranges, but, like I said, I have no first-hand knowledge in the world of oil industry, so the best I can do is form an opinion based on logic and the examples (trends) I observe.

And, finally, to clarify one thing - I am not complaining about the high prices that I pay at the gas pumps simply because I think that they are high. I made a conscious decision to drive a car with a 6-cylinder engine which demands a premium fuel. What I'm complaining about I believe that the prices are high simply because between here and the Middle East, there is a long line of people all getting rich off of me :D

Mikey_s
Mikey_s
8
Joined: 21 Dec 2005, 11:06

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F1,

no offence taken at this end :D

Just to throw a couple more apples and oranges into the discussion; when (if) you ever visit Starbucks just think of the markup, it's been a while since I bought a coffee in Starbucks, but last time it was about $2 for a cofee; OK, I had a splash of creamer in it, but how many cups do you get for a pound of coffee... that's what I call fleecing the punter; hell gasoline is cheap compared to coffee, or beer!! (and you don't need a huge piece of kit called arefinery to produce coffee.

Just for information the refining and marketing margin for Shell last year was about $3/bbl; that means that when they buy a barrel of oil then the value of that barrel at the other end of the refinery is about $3 higher than the crude oil - that's not a lot considering the amount of kit required for a refinery and I'll bet that Starbucks' margin is considerably higher than that for coffee. OK, the law of large numbers applies to an oil refinery.

Big multinationals will always use their purchasing power to screw the little guys - it's not nice, but it is commerce.

@Ciro;
I don't know in your country, but in mine that's a price cartel.

Incredible isn't it! It's absolutely illegal for companies to do that, but countries (especially oil rich ones!) get away with it. How would you suggest we stop them? - One solution, reduce consumption... only trouble is that someone else (doubtless in the Far East) will buy it instead. [/quote]
Mike

mcdenife
mcdenife
1
Joined: 05 Nov 2004, 13:21
Location: Timbuck2

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ciro wrote:
Mac, Nigeria first president, elected in 2004, after 15 years of military rule, preceded by 13 years of another military rule, is the same guy that was dictator in the 70's. In heaven's name, the country still lacks a constitution!
Timeline Nigeria:
Formed 1914.
Gained independence: 1 oct 1960 - Parliamentary system of govt.
first premier/president: A Tafawa Balewa/A Azikiwe - till 1966 - Premier assasinated.
Military Rule after coup: 1966 - 1979
Heads of state:
1966 - Gen. A Ironsi - Killed counter coup same year.
1966 - 1975:Gen Y Gowon - overthrown.
1975 - 1976 - Gen M Mohammed - Assasinated in coup attempt. Baton to passed deputy (Gen O Obasanjo)
1976 - 1979 -Gen. O Obasanjo - Steps down and hands power to democratically elected govt (Modelled on US system of Govt).
2nd Republic - 1979 - 1983
President: S. Shagari - overthrown by military
Military Rule (again) - 1983 - 19999
Heads of State:
Gen. M Buhari - 1983 - 1985 - Overthrown and jailed
Gen. B Babangida - 1985 -199? - Steps down/retires or couldnt hold on.
Gen. S Abacha - 199? - 1997/8 - Died after illness (some say aids)
1997/8 - Interim Govt while new constitution is drafted.
1999 - til present - Democratically elected govt (modelled on US system once again)
elected President:
O. Obasanjo (former Gen and now coming to end of term after election this year).

The country DOES not lack a constitution.
Long experience has taught me this about the status of mankind with regards to matters requiring thought. The less people know and understand about them, the more positively they attempt to argue concerning them; while on the other hand, to know and understand a multitude of things renders men cautious in passing judgement upon anything new. - Galileo..

The noblest of dogs is the hot dog. It feeds the hand that bites it.

mcdenife
mcdenife
1
Joined: 05 Nov 2004, 13:21
Location: Timbuck2

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Ciro wrote:
I don't imply anything. I state clearly that the majority of OPEC "rulers dinasties" have been put in place or consolidated by the american, british, french and dutch governments with the intervention of their respective oil companies and this is an historic fact.
May be. But this preceeded the formation of OPEC by which time said govts/system either no longer existed or the relationship with the oil companies changed and with it their influence. Whereas before, the oil belonged to the company which bought or leased the land, it now belonged to the respective countries/dynasties. In short the countries nationalised the oil and in some cases the companies so that they now had the power/control over this resource and could set quotas etc. The shoe, as was said, was now on the other foot.
Long experience has taught me this about the status of mankind with regards to matters requiring thought. The less people know and understand about them, the more positively they attempt to argue concerning them; while on the other hand, to know and understand a multitude of things renders men cautious in passing judgement upon anything new. - Galileo..

The noblest of dogs is the hot dog. It feeds the hand that bites it.

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Ciro Pabón
106
Joined: 11 May 2005, 00:31

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mac: I read the same list this morning. Not precisely a bastion of democracy.

I should have given the link where I read that bit about the constitution: "CNN: Building credibility without a constitution".

Of course, if a "Transition to Civil Rule" document written by the previous dictator, Mr. Abdulsalami Abubakar, qualifies as one... then they have one. I wonder what Mr. Thomas Jefferson, who I admire so much, would have thought of that.

The Nigerian "constitution" forbids the General Assembly (the Congress) from making laws on:

"1. Accounts of the Government of the Federation, and of offices, courts, and authorities thereof, including audit of those accounts."

And, OF COURSE...

"39. Mines and minerals, including oil fields, oil mining, geological surveys and natural gas."

Nice constitution. The list of "forbidden matters" to legislate on has 69 points! I wonder what you call a democracy, let me tell you.

There are other pearls:

"None of the country's four oil refineries are operational, forcing Nigeria to import petroleum and pricing it beyond the reach of most."

"Gen. Sani Abacha pocketed $7.5 billion during a five-year joyride that ended with his death in 1998. Abacha managed to make his predecessor, Gen. Ibrahim Babangida, who was known for taking a 25 percent cut of major deals, look almost respectable. One Nigerian newspaper labeled Abacha and his wife "the Looters of the Century."

Image

Well, mac, I don't know if you feel these guys are getting a "fair return on their investment". Surely I won't trust them the keys to hell, but I wonder if they could have taken a bribe or two from Exxon... however, if you assure me they haven't I'll believe you: I've already said I think you're a smart man.

F1.redbaron may have overcome his moment of anger: I've never been able...
Ciro

mcdenife
mcdenife
1
Joined: 05 Nov 2004, 13:21
Location: Timbuck2

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ciro wrote:
mac: I read the same list this morning. Not precisely a bastion of democracy.
I dont know what list you were refering to. What I wrote are from facts as I know and remember them to be and yes may be not a bastion democracy, but then we are not talking about bastions of democracy are we? Rather, whether it is or not a democracy now.
I should have given the link where I read that bit about the constitution: "CNN: Building credibility without a constitution".

Of course, if a "Transition to Civil Rule" document written by the previous dictator, Mr. Abdulsalami Abubakar, qualifies as one... then they have one. I wonder what Mr. Thomas Jefferson, who I admire so much, would have thought of that.

I dont know where you get you facts from but the transition to civil rule is NOT the country's constitution.
Well, mac, I don't know if you feel these guys are getting a "fair return on their investment". Surely I won't trust them the keys to hell, but I wonder if they could have taken a bribe or two from Exxon... but if you assure me they haven't I'll believe you: I've already said I think you're a smart man.
Who knows but you cannot therefore conclude that oil companies fix/set prices from this.
Of course, you could be right and Mr. Obasanjo may have reformed... he should have learnt something from the Biafra war, when 1 million people died and were "starved into submission". I was 9 years old when I saw the pictures of that war and I have not forgotten them... imagine the guy, that participated in it.
Reformed from what being being a farmer? I dont understand.
The biafra war (precipitated by the 2nd coup of 1966) is another story entirely and the point is, I cannot see how this makes this country, today, dictatorship.
Long experience has taught me this about the status of mankind with regards to matters requiring thought. The less people know and understand about them, the more positively they attempt to argue concerning them; while on the other hand, to know and understand a multitude of things renders men cautious in passing judgement upon anything new. - Galileo..

The noblest of dogs is the hot dog. It feeds the hand that bites it.

Carlos
Carlos
11
Joined: 02 Sep 2006, 19:43
Location: Canada

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It's interesting how every nation interprets Democracy differently. In some - President means a leader expressing the letter and meaning of a country's Constitution. In others, President suggests a Tyrant, or worse.

Both Presidents and Tyrants can be either leaders of the people or exterminator of the masses. It all depends on their personal definition of President. Interestingly both may be fathers, husbands and certainly beloved or hated by many - perhaps both. Human nature is both sublime and demonic.

It may be unfortunate that my experience suggests such pragmatism. I am ambivalent. Both world weary and optimistic.

Coffee is the gold of the restaurant business - the highest profit margin item served. Oil is "the grease" of industrial civilization, in my opinion.

I may have missed the specific subject of this thread.

mcdenife
mcdenife
1
Joined: 05 Nov 2004, 13:21
Location: Timbuck2

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ciro wrote:
The Nigerian "constitution" forbids the General Assembly (the Congress) from making laws on:

"1. Accounts of the Government of the Federation, and of offices, courts, and authorities thereof, including audit of those accounts."

And, OF COURSE...

"39. Mines and minerals, including oil fields, oil mining, geological surveys and natural gas."
Oh, so you accept it does have a constitution?
Nice constitution. The list of "forbidden matters" to legislate on has 69 points! I wonder what you call a democracy, let me tell you.
What it forbids or not is irrelevant what is important is that it has one, call it a starting point. But as I am sure you know, a constitution evolves no?
Well I am not as smart as you think so I await 'what you call a democary'
There are other pearls:

"None of the country's four oil refineries are operational, forcing Nigeria to import petroleum and pricing it beyond the reach of most."
Not sure what makes this a pearl but I am sure you will tell us the about the hows and whys of the local petroleum market and its pricing structure. What I do know is that its gas prices are heavily subsidised.
Long experience has taught me this about the status of mankind with regards to matters requiring thought. The less people know and understand about them, the more positively they attempt to argue concerning them; while on the other hand, to know and understand a multitude of things renders men cautious in passing judgement upon anything new. - Galileo..

The noblest of dogs is the hot dog. It feeds the hand that bites it.

mcdenife
mcdenife
1
Joined: 05 Nov 2004, 13:21
Location: Timbuck2

Post

ooops
Long experience has taught me this about the status of mankind with regards to matters requiring thought. The less people know and understand about them, the more positively they attempt to argue concerning them; while on the other hand, to know and understand a multitude of things renders men cautious in passing judgement upon anything new. - Galileo..

The noblest of dogs is the hot dog. It feeds the hand that bites it.

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f1.redbaron
0
Joined: 31 Jul 2005, 23:29

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Mikey_s wrote:F1,

no offence taken at this end :D

Just to throw a couple more apples and oranges into the discussion; when (if) you ever visit Starbucks just think of the markup, it's been a while since I bought a coffee in Starbucks, but last time it was about $2 for a cofee; OK, I had a splash of creamer in it, but how many cups do you get for a pound of coffee... that's what I call fleecing the punter; hell gasoline is cheap compared to coffee, or beer!! (and you don't need a huge piece of kit called arefinery to produce coffee.
Yeah, where I buy my coffee, it is about $2.00. This whole thing with the cream and sugar is, kind of my point. Shell buys their oil from - I'm gonna use one of Bushisms and call them - the axis of evil. Then, from the moment the crude oil is bought, to the moment I put gasoline into my gas tank, oil companies have spent boatloads of money on anything from transporting that crude oil (those tankers and their crews can't be cheap), to offloading it, refining, etc, etc. Pretty soon, oil no longer cost them $X dollars/barrel, but $X+other expenses. So, to compensate, they charge me whatever they charge me at the gas stations. And I'm OK with that concept.

Now, by this point, you're probably thinking, "yes, moron, I know how things work". But, while I'm OK with the concept, I'm not OK with the concept of somebody overcompensating those losses.

Starbucks does the same thing. They are going to pay some poor Kenyan farmer <50cents/pound, and charge me $2.00 for a cup of coffee which is very diluted with water. (that's $2.00 for a regular black coffee, while those mocha...somethings cost even more). So they're making a killing too.

btw, I don't agree with people when they compare the prices of gasoline and coffee. While it may be true, psychologically it is a completely different impact. When I go to get my coffee, since I don't buy around 65L of it, I can afford to pay for it with the pocket change. Gas, on the other hand, is different - paying for it requires something "a tad" more than the pocket change.

@Ciro,

Sorry to put salt on your wounds!

So, I know that this won't heal them, but a little laughter may help...to all of us. Enjoy:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=XUosUk6X9gE