Badger wrote: ↑20 Oct 2025, 12:00
Aesop wrote: ↑20 Oct 2025, 11:23
I reckon you are right, it still is improbable, but it makes the last races so much more enjoyable. 
If i had to bet, i'd say Piastri 45%, Norris 40% and Max 15%
 
I think 15% is fair for Max. Before this weekend it would have been below 5%. However, for me Lando is now the favourite. He’s in form relative to Piastri, and quite close now. I’d say Lando 50%, Piastri 35%, Max 15%. 
The bookies are smoking something btw, some of them have Max as a slight favourite now. Not a bad time to place a bet on Lando I’d say.
 
I think this is all overrated:
- Yes, I like to joke about Pia doing a Webber. But his weakness was very wind specific. The car was not as planted as usual giving them a bigger driving task than usual...thus he fell back. On a non-windy day and everything else now in not known for much wind, he will be on par again. Still, he will most likely do a P3 or worse when Lando wins and this will be costly.
- Without the tango with Max, Lando would have easily won Mexico and without the rain also Brazil last year. The cars this year behave track specific as last year. My bet is with one win in either of these races, maybe a 1-2, McLaren will just close the case.
I think the next two races need a very exceptional outcome, otherwise this is all just wet dreams about Max having a chance.