Matt2725 wrote: ↑20 Apr 2025, 00:05
Cs98 wrote: ↑19 Apr 2025, 23:09
Seanspeed wrote: ↑19 Apr 2025, 23:03
Mclaren have the widest working of all cars by far. Like, it's not even close. They're literally the fastest car in every single track, weather, situation, etc.
Basically, good laptimes come to the Mclaren very easily. And it seems like the overall conditions in Q3 vs FP3 were not as conducive to overall laptime improvements as we usually get for whatever reason.
Mclaren has zero reason to bluff or do glory runs. Trying to explain why they would do such a thing requires a far more puzzling potential answer than why Q3 conditions simply weren't as fast as expected.
Conditions were conducive to good lap times for everyone else. I doubt they were running 30 kgs of fuel with low engine modes and posted a 27,4 on a 50 degree track, and then come quali when they drain the fuel and turn up the power they gain nothing. In all likelihood they were already running pretty much quali settings in FP3 and they are just very good in hot temps.
Pretty much, that car works in all temps. Assuming nobody can come up with a solution or figure out the secret sauce, McLaren need to be begging for a hot summer. There seems to be a point (around 35C track temp) where the performance to the chasing pack starts to diminish quickly.
I'm not convinced that this is the correct explanation. As CS98 pointed out, if Mclaren were not doing low fuel, max engine power runs in FP3 ( i don't see why they would have been), then there is a quantifiable laptime improvement that should have come from removing fuel and increasing the engine power even if track temperature didn't change. F = ma. Less mass, more power should lead to higher accelerations everywhere.
So how can you explain this discrepancy? I don't think Mclaren was glory running (although running low fuel and high engine mode does not mean you are glory running as it could simply be strategic data collection). So to me it indicates that something has gone "wrong" with the Mclaren maybe in the car or driver and they didn't go as fast as they anticipated. Perhaps the first sign of development/correlation trouble or Piastri didn't do a very good lap after all (which he more or less was suggesting in the post-qualy interview before he diverted into copium mode saying it was the best he could do).
He just bleeds time from sector 2 onwards compared to FP3 of Norris. It also looks like he lacked commitment in S1 high speed corners compared to Verstappen when you compre throttle trace. We know that Mclaren has more downforce than the Red Bull so Piastri had no business lifting out of the corners earlier than Verstappen but as we know, Verstappen is incredible in high speed corners so even in a car with less potential, he can still match up against a driver in quicker car who can't exploit more downforce in the high speed because they lack the skill/commitment to do so.
I really do think Red Bull was only the third fastest car in this qualifying, behind Mclaren and Mercedes and that this has been the case since the start of the year. It's a little sad that people can't get over their agendas to see what we are witnessing. Verstappen is doing incredible things which people don't want to believe for "reasons". Mercedes is the 2nd fastest car. Mclaren 1st. Russell is missing a bit even if some don't want to admit it. Russell is not as good in the wet as Max (Australia race gap is basically down to this. In qualy there was nothing between them. Already you could see Russell getting outpaced by Hamilton in the intermediate/wet conditions in Silverstone last year, and Russell made a meal of the intermediate stints in Canada). Merc and Mclaren were faster in China. Merc (tire prep) and Mclaren (mistakes) bottled qualy in Japan. We know what happened in Bahrain...Here both Toto Wolff and Russell said they
should have been on pole but that Russell missed around 2 tenths which was attainable. Piastri clearly didn't maximize that Mclaren in S1, perhaps scared by the crash of his teammate earlier in the session. That Mclaren only improve by 2 tenths compared to FP3 shows how much was left on the table. Mclaren and Mercedes being ahead is consistent with the rest of the year. Max has 2 poles and a win in what really is the 3rd fastest car all season. The comparisons to late 90s Schumacher are apt. Most paddock insiders know it. Toto Wolff knows it. Niki Lauda knew it (RIP). I made a comment in Mercedes thread on this point which people didn't understand because they didn't want to believe that's what senior, well educated people at Mercedes really think.
It doesn't turn.