2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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zibby43
zibby43
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Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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Big Tea
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Re: 2021 Red Bull Racing F1 Team

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Probably worth considering a start from the pit lane. Car and tyres can be set last thing then
When arguing with a fool, be sure the other person is not doing the same thing.

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SiLo
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Joined: 25 Jul 2010, 19:09

Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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hard for me to believe that bottas is almost 6tenths a lap quicker than Hamilton. I know he likes the track here but damn.
Felipe Baby!

matt_b
matt_b
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Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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darkpino wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 18:49
How come Lewis is not under investigation?
Precedent:
www.bbc.com/sport/formula1/57615056.amp
I knew someone would come here desperate for Lewis to get a penalty, I think you need to look up what a precedent means :lol:

zibby43
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Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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SiLo wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 20:34
hard for me to believe that bottas is almost 6tenths a lap quicker than Hamilton. I know he likes the track here but damn.
It will be renamed the Bottas Autodrom.

Restomaniac
Restomaniac
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Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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Slo Poke wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 19:46
Flippin’ ‘eck! Goodness gracious me! So Jackman has turned out to be a jack man... why is there any wonder?
Yeah I’ve missed today due to work and I was scratching me head wondering why a 7xWDC was trying to hit Wolverine with his car.

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dans79
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Joined: 03 Mar 2013, 19:33
Location: USA

Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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SiLo wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 20:34
hard for me to believe that bottas is almost 6tenths a lap quicker than Hamilton. I know he likes the track here but damn.
Old engine being babied vs new engine not being babied!
201 105 104 9 9 7

Tvetovnato
Tvetovnato
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Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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dans79 wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 21:16
SiLo wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 20:34
hard for me to believe that bottas is almost 6tenths a lap quicker than Hamilton. I know he likes the track here but damn.
Old engine being babied vs new engine not being babied!
They ran different setups. Hamilton was just as quick, if not quicker, most of the time through S1 due to lower downforce, but lost a lot of time in S2 especially. They will converge tomorrow most likely after tonights data crunching.

Also I am not entirely sure that RB is as far behind as is claimed. Verstappen was hampered by traffic early in the stint, which brings the average time up. I followed the times closely in the race sims lap by lap, and Verstappen had some really good pace in S2 and 3 when things settled after some laps. Only lost a couple of tenths in S1. He will be quite strong in the race for sure.

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Big Tea
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Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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matt_b wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 20:44
darkpino wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 18:49
How come Lewis is not under investigation?
Precedent:
www.bbc.com/sport/formula1/57615056.amp
I knew someone would come here desperate for Lewis to get a penalty, I think you need to look up what a precedent means :lol:
The guy in charge of USA ? :twisted:
When arguing with a fool, be sure the other person is not doing the same thing.

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godlameroso
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Joined: 16 Jan 2010, 21:27
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Re: 2021 Red Bull Racing F1 Team

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Fulcrum wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 18:34
godlameroso wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 16:02
It's going to rain until around 4pm tomorrow local time, with the heaviest rain around FP3 time, from what I can see. It won't be more than a drizzle on Sunday, likely dry. The rain will mean that there's a green track that will rubber in, I hope we saved our Hard tires, we're going to need them come race day. The undercut is very powerful, however there is a long pit time penalty.

The rears will need protecting.

A two stop is looking likely for the race, with a 3 stop being almost as fast. It may also afford enough pace disparity to make overtakes possible. If they don't have the top speed to make the pass into turn 2, then they'll need the downforce to make the pass into turn 13
I can think of 3 reasons for doing more than 2 stops: desperation, trying to steal the fastest lap, or getting a 'free stop' during a Safety Car period. You'd likely require a combination of these factors to facilitate 3 stops.

This track has a pitlane speed limit of 60kph. Between that and the low degradation tarmac, pit stops are hugely disincentivized, as evidenced by every race ever held here.

Look at the data from Practice 1, where the tyres typically degrade at their worst.

Bottas (C3) - 9 lap stint
01:41.762
01:40.801
01:41.978
01:40.761
01:40.675
01:41.172
01:40.232
01:40.615
01:40.516
Average: 01:40.946; 01:40.682 if excluding the initial high 01:41's.

I.e. Degradation lower than the fuel burn-off effect.

The Mercs are going to be under little to no threat with Max at the back of the field. They'll try to get through to Q3 on the C4 (yellow), nurse those tyres for as long as required during the race, before pitting for C3 (white). Then, come race end, they'll bolt on some C5's for the fastest lap. A 'fake' 2-stop in other words.

All of this assuming a dry race without Safety Cars.
That's 9 laps...The race is around 6 times longer than that, the tires are going to fall off a cliff and be horrendous to drive on in ~20 laps, there will be almost no grip in the rear, maybe you can nurse them for a one stop, but you'll be so painfully slow that it's not worth it.
Saishū kōnā

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subcritical71
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Joined: 17 Jul 2018, 20:04
Location: USA-Florida

Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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zibby43 wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 20:45
SiLo wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 20:34
hard for me to believe that bottas is almost 6tenths a lap quicker than Hamilton. I know he likes the track here but damn.
It will be renamed the Bottas Autodrom.
I don't know if I'm going to put this into your head now, but I keep reading the 'VTB Russian Grand Prix' as 'Valtteri Bottas Russian Grand Prix' :lol:

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Ryar
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Joined: 31 Jan 2021, 17:28

Re: 2021 Red Bull Racing F1 Team

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godlameroso wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 23:01
Fulcrum wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 18:34
godlameroso wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 16:02
It's going to rain until around 4pm tomorrow local time, with the heaviest rain around FP3 time, from what I can see. It won't be more than a drizzle on Sunday, likely dry. The rain will mean that there's a green track that will rubber in, I hope we saved our Hard tires, we're going to need them come race day. The undercut is very powerful, however there is a long pit time penalty.

The rears will need protecting.

A two stop is looking likely for the race, with a 3 stop being almost as fast. It may also afford enough pace disparity to make overtakes possible. If they don't have the top speed to make the pass into turn 2, then they'll need the downforce to make the pass into turn 13
I can think of 3 reasons for doing more than 2 stops: desperation, trying to steal the fastest lap, or getting a 'free stop' during a Safety Car period. You'd likely require a combination of these factors to facilitate 3 stops.

This track has a pitlane speed limit of 60kph. Between that and the low degradation tarmac, pit stops are hugely disincentivized, as evidenced by every race ever held here.

Look at the data from Practice 1, where the tyres typically degrade at their worst.

Bottas (C3) - 9 lap stint
01:41.762
01:40.801
01:41.978
01:40.761
01:40.675
01:41.172
01:40.232
01:40.615
01:40.516
Average: 01:40.946; 01:40.682 if excluding the initial high 01:41's.

I.e. Degradation lower than the fuel burn-off effect.

The Mercs are going to be under little to no threat with Max at the back of the field. They'll try to get through to Q3 on the C4 (yellow), nurse those tyres for as long as required during the race, before pitting for C3 (white). Then, come race end, they'll bolt on some C5's for the fastest lap. A 'fake' 2-stop in other words.

All of this assuming a dry race without Safety Cars.
That's 9 laps...The race is around 6 times longer than that, the tires are going to fall off a cliff and be horrendous to drive on in ~20 laps, there will be almost no grip in the rear, maybe you can nurse them for a one stop, but you'll be so painfully slow that it's not worth it.
I hope the track would be 100% green with a deluge today that forces cars to multiple stops.
Hakuna Matata!

Fulcrum
Fulcrum
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Joined: 25 Aug 2014, 18:05

Re: 2021 Red Bull Racing F1 Team

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godlameroso wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 23:01
Fulcrum wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 18:34
godlameroso wrote:
24 Sep 2021, 16:02
It's going to rain until around 4pm tomorrow local time, with the heaviest rain around FP3 time, from what I can see. It won't be more than a drizzle on Sunday, likely dry. The rain will mean that there's a green track that will rubber in, I hope we saved our Hard tires, we're going to need them come race day. The undercut is very powerful, however there is a long pit time penalty.

The rears will need protecting.

A two stop is looking likely for the race, with a 3 stop being almost as fast. It may also afford enough pace disparity to make overtakes possible. If they don't have the top speed to make the pass into turn 2, then they'll need the downforce to make the pass into turn 13
I can think of 3 reasons for doing more than 2 stops: desperation, trying to steal the fastest lap, or getting a 'free stop' during a Safety Car period. You'd likely require a combination of these factors to facilitate 3 stops.

This track has a pitlane speed limit of 60kph. Between that and the low degradation tarmac, pit stops are hugely disincentivized, as evidenced by every race ever held here.

Look at the data from Practice 1, where the tyres typically degrade at their worst.

Bottas (C3) - 9 lap stint
01:41.762
01:40.801
01:41.978
01:40.761
01:40.675
01:41.172
01:40.232
01:40.615
01:40.516
Average: 01:40.946; 01:40.682 if excluding the initial high 01:41's.

I.e. Degradation lower than the fuel burn-off effect.

The Mercs are going to be under little to no threat with Max at the back of the field. They'll try to get through to Q3 on the C4 (yellow), nurse those tyres for as long as required during the race, before pitting for C3 (white). Then, come race end, they'll bolt on some C5's for the fastest lap. A 'fake' 2-stop in other words.

All of this assuming a dry race without Safety Cars.
That's 9 laps...The race is around 6 times longer than that, the tires are going to fall off a cliff and be horrendous to drive on in ~20 laps, there will be almost no grip in the rear, maybe you can nurse them for a one stop, but you'll be so painfully slow that it's not worth it.
So an, as yet, unobserved, yet humongous drop off in tyre performance. Okay then.

I'll stick with my prediction of a '1-stop' for Mercedes, with an unneccesary 2nd stop for fastest lap at the end of the race.

ArcticWolfie
ArcticWolfie
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Joined: 23 Jun 2017, 18:37

Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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I don't think we can say anything sensible about the timing in FP2:


Fuel load & engine mode are all unknowns.

The only concerning thing I noticed was that the RB16 didn't look as strong compared to previous circuits, Verstappen's car seemed off balance in the low and medium speed corners.

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214270
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Joined: 27 Apr 2019, 18:49

Re: 2021 Russian Grand Prix - Sochi, Sep 24 - 26

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Anyone with an eye on the weather situation currently at Sochi?
Team ANTI-HYPE. Prove it, then I’ll anoint you.