AR3-GP wrote: ↑02 Aug 2024, 23:52
I'm not going to address the specific points in your post (f1isgood, MySee).
I will simply say that history teaches us many lessons. Nothing we are seeing is new. Red Bull was a dominant F1 team just as Williams, Ferrari, Mclaren, and Mercedes were before them. Then the cracks appeared, and it all fell apart. Those teams suffered for many years. Red Bull is not immune. It serves no purpose to ignore the past. All of the teams are the same. When the cracks start to appear, they all come crashing down the same way.
For now, Red Bull still have lots of money (unlike the others apart from Ferrari and Mercedes who didn't have problems on that front). Obviously McLaren bought out Mercedes which was expensive and lost the backing of Mercedes, while Williams lost the backing of BMW.
If Ford RBPT is a disaster, presumably there will be a way to pivot to Honda power units?
I think it is unlikely RBR-Ford RBPT will fall out of the Top 5 WCC in the short to medium terms (3-4 seasons) like Williams-Cosworth & Williams-Toyota did (eventually becoming backmarkers as Williams-Renault 5-6 seasons later), but it depends if Ford RBPT is a complete disaster or not, of course.
If Ford RBPT units are over 100hp down (and the Audi units aren't that bad, of course Audi could be just as bad or worse), then certainly RBR and VCARB will be nailed to the last two rows. But (hopefully) the Ford RBPT units will be more competitive than that.
taperoo2k wrote: ↑03 Aug 2024, 01:35
What has happened in the past
when Newey leaves a team is a decline, either a slow one or a fast one.
It took McLaren a better part of a decade to get where they are now. Williams have been in the doldrums for a long time, with a win here and there.
Attributing Newey to the decline of McLaren after 2013 is
really a stretch IMO! Newey left in 2006 and McLaren remained a leading team until 2012.
While Williams declined faster, it was accompanied by Renault power units being replaced by privateer Mecachrome & Supertec power units whcih didn't receive the same rate of development. With Willis designed cars and BMW engines, Williams were reasonably comeptitive. Williams only started to struggle technically in 2005, two years after the departure of Willis (but again there is the factor of BMW using detuned 2004 power units that season for various reasons, instead of a 2005 development).