I think F1 and the FIA are almost the same. They have seperate votes just give F1 some controll if need be. The FIA are like the referees of F1. So F1 will almost always vote the with the FIA. The FIA , Nikolas Tombazis, has already said he's gonna do something. So to me it looks like they have the supermajority. What they do with it another thing.
Anyways, I hope they do the right thing peewon.
The idea they set a limit on the CR to save teams money and not disadvantage new teams.This has turned into the opposite, costing the other teams a ton of $$$ and even further disadvantaged teams is just stupid.
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I would be pleasantly surprised if they do something.
I think FOM (F1) might vote in their commercial interest. Probably lot of politicking within the FOM. Im very skeptical FIA will do anything, especially for this season for two reasons:
FIA added "at ambient temperature" in the regulations at the last minute which more or less solidifies Mercedes' loophole. There is a possibility of a compromise for next year for some hot temp. testing but who knows if it will ever be implementable.
The track record since the entry of Mercedes into F1 suggests they will get their way with any regulatory issue. I cant recall a single incidence of a regulatory ruling going against them. DAS is probably the closest and it lasted the whole season.
The problem for them will be if all the other 4 PUMs are firmly and vocally against it and the regulations are a disaster, it will put enormous pressure on them. Anything short of that, Im not expecting them to do much.