Emag wrote: ↑20 Feb 2026, 17:48
Unless McLaren are heavily sandbagging, I think they’re at least 2 tenths down on Ferrari at the moment. Mercedes is hard to read, they’ve been rather cryptic in their runs.
I stand to my first prediction regarding the pecking order.
It’s Mercedes/Ferrari (and I would bet for Ferrari in Melbourne at the moment), then McLaren/RedBull.
The gaps in Australia could give us a sense of how realistic a 4-team fight would be later in the season.
How do you reach this conclusion? Norris had very little running today, he immediately entered into a qualy sim, did 3 runs and ended up 2 tenths slower than Leclerc on a lap where he had multiple oversteer moments in S1.
Leclerc on other hand had the whole day, did more C3 runs in the evening and had many more C3s than Norris.
Honestly, to me Norris being 2 tenths off at the same time on same tire on the day like he had today is very positive sign for McLaren.
At least in qualifying trim. Race sims I couldn't really follow as I haven't been at home, but it was a McLaren strength last year.