Mclaren is definitely struggling at the moment. according to ITV, the new MP4-24 rear wing is stalling and that sounds like a big aero design problem which they might not be able to fix without redesigning the front.
As for development of the new car, I believe by having a more experience driver who is strong in development this season will always help due to the drastic change to this year's car. Maybe thats the reason why BGP prefer to keep Ruben instead of having a rookie.
Having a test driver like Pedro will help, but he will still have to understand the car first (by driving it) before he can make any recommendation. And the test restriction is bad news for Mclaren right now.
Anyway, Mclaren still have a test session at Jerez next week, so its still possible that Mclaren will surprise everyone there.