AR3-GP wrote: ↑24 Feb 2024, 18:31
I still can't reconcile why everyone thinks RB is the untouchable boogey man if the gap was only 2-3 tenths. With a margin like this, and the additional windtunnel time of those behind, they would be caught up by the end of the season.
Not that this will carry much weight, but from my own estimates where I performed weight and power corrections (0.5 second for 15kg delta and 2.5 tenths difference in engine modes), I arrived at a conclusion that Ferrari was right there on pace with RB at the beginning of the stint. However I couldn't predict RB's tire degradation accurately because I could not determine a suitable degradation correction factor for the lighter fuel load of Verstappen's test stints on Friday.
3 tenths over 50 laps is 15 seconds. It is not a gap that is enough for others to compete for a title. And this is not even Red Bull's proper car. They have upgrades for Imola and Suzuka coming up soon. Add to that RB are operationally in their own league, no team can fight them easily as long as they have a tenth or so advantage over a season.
If I had to wager a guess, I would guess that even last year RB and Ferrari had similar pace at the beginning of a stint but a few laps in, RB just kept going quicker and quicker. This year I would still expect RB to have better degradation, although the advantage relative to last year will be smaller.